Week 4 degen gambler thread

[whaler11]

So thanks to the NFL I'm having a very nice year.

Two things this week. 18.5 is way too much for UConn.

Maryland -3.5 for WVU in Baltimore is insane. WVU flat out stinks.

 

[Jerry1714]

Gotta think the same suckers who took Bosie week 1, Florida week 2 and BC week 3 will be running to the window to take Pitt -4 this week.

I will be on Duke and Colo state for now. Gotta think there is a letdown in T town after last weeks win.

 

[whaler11]

Colorado State is putrid. It's a brave man who backs them. If Cal Poly could make a kick...

 

[whaler11]

Fresno State -3 might be too good to be true. Wisconsin is an interesting case. Teams that lose like that... 24.5 is a ton for Purdue.

 

[john2153]

Only took a quick glance at the lines, but Maryland -3.5 definitely jumped out at me too.

I will probably go anti-USC again. Was foolish for taking BC last week, they stink. Utah St is a legit team with a legit QB in Keeton. I'll take them getting a TD against Kiffin.

 

[Durks07]

So thanks to the NFL I'm having a very nice year.

Two things this week. 18.5 is way too much for UConn.

Maryland -3.5 for WVU in Baltimore is insane. WVU flat out stinks.

Where did you see the MD line? The site I looked at has it sitting at -5.5. It's not a book, but keeps track of the line's movements so maybe it is off.

 

[whaler11]

Where did you see the MD line? The site I looked at has it sitting at -5.5. It's not a book, but keeps track of the line's movements so maybe it is off.

Yeah I see 4.5 now. I may have 'misremembered' from earlier. As it goes up... It turns into Boise/BC/Florida

 

[Durks07]

Yeah I see 4.5 now. I may have 'misremembered' from earlier. As it goes up... It turns into Boise/BC/Florida

I'm inclined to agree with you on that one. Also, it looks pretty rough for anyone who wants to be brave and take Uconn on Saturday... http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/ncf/matchups/g8_trends_14.html

 

[sportsart]

Are you saying take UConn plus the points?

 

[whaler11]

I love UConn at a number higher than 17. Michigan is not that good.

 

[nelsonmuntz]

I wouldn't take UConn +35 on Saturday.

 

[whaler11]

I wouldn't take UConn +35 on Saturday.

Which sort of makes me like it even more....

 

[whaler11]

Michigan may be the Week 4 Boise.

 

[Jerry1714]

Fresno State -3 might be too good to be true. Wisconsin is an interesting case. Teams that lose like that... 24.5 is a ton for Purdue.

Like both Fresno and Purdue. Purdue is awful but it is a tough sport for the Badgers.

Trust me a lot of donkeys are saying Bosie +3 is to good to be true, just as they did in Washington..............

 

[UConn07]

Fresno -3
Maryland up to -6 but still like
USC -6
Tennessee +17.5
Michigan State +7
Kansas State +4
Arizona State +7.5

 

[Kgun7]

Nothing really jumps out at me this week ... but I'm intrigued by Kent +19 @ PSU and Army +3.5 hosting Wake ... any opinions?

 

[Jerry1714]

Mich state +7
Ucla -41
Kent state +21
Texas -4 (this it for me with this team)

 

[whaler11]

If army is over a fg it's interesting. Wake is trash.

 

[john2153]

Now down to Wake -2.5.

Liking Army more and more with that movement.

Only thing I worry about is a let down after they played so well vs Stanford last week.

 

[Jerry1714]

Now down to Wake -2.5.

Liking Army more and more with that movement.

Only thing I worry about is a let down after they played so well vs Stanford last week.

Army had some players hurt against Stanford, including their RB. I could see a big let down for them as well.

Also wake runs the option now so they have practiced against all year and should be ready for army.

 

[whaler11]

God no like Army less. You already missed the number. Worst thing you can do is take that bad number. If it doesn't get back to 3 avoid like plague.

 

[whaler11]

Can't take the bad number on Army now.
I've learned my lesson betting on Duke - passing.
Wish I got Syracuse early in week

UNC/GT Over 59
UConn +20 - 2 weeks in a row I disagree w/ line movement on UConn game
Purdue +23 - hate missing the 24 though
Marshall +10
Maryland -5.5 very well knowing this is the trap of the week
Minnesota -3.5
Troy +14
Baylor over 76.5
SMU +28.5
ND/Mich St under 42.5
Ark St -4.5
Colorado St +39 - 2 people I value their opinion talked me into this
Mid Tenn -4 maybe another trap

Going to be on WKU later but my guy doesn't have a line yet.

 

[nelsonmuntz]

Houston -3
Whoever is playing kiffin +7
Kstate +6.5
Nmsu +43
Byu -7
Nebraska -21

 

[Durks07]

Houston -3
Whoever is playing kiffin +7
Kstate +6.5
Nmsu +43
Byu -7
Nebraska -21

I'm with you on whoever is playing Kiffin. The line moved down to 6.5, but 69% of the bets are on USC. The smart bettors are riding Utah St. I'm inclined to agree.

 

[whaler11]

Army was so bad I'm making rookie mistake of tacking on ASU +7.