Staying with the AAC was almost catastrophic for the athletic program, but it also led to 3 national titles.
We would probably be in the Big 12 right now if UConn had split from the AAC with the Catholic schools in 2012. While I am confident we would have been in a P4 league today if we had done that, I am also pretty confident that UConn would not have won the 2014, 2023 or 2024 National Championships if that had happened, and Hurley would not be our coach today. The Butterfly Effect works both ways.
I don't think UConn was one of the 10 best teams in the country in 2014, but Ollie and the team went on a heater unlike anything I have ever witnessed and will probably ever witness again. Ollie won with what is definitely one of the 5 worst NCAA Men's Basketball Championship teams of the modern era, and probably one of the 2 or 3 worst teams. In my opinion, Villanova's 1985 team is the only champion that is definitely worse, and they won because they were all on cocaine. And Ollie went through some very good teams to do it. Michigan State in the Final 8 and Kentucky in the Finals are the only two games Ollie played against teams that were not the highest seed possible, and Kentucky had beaten the highest seed possible with the exception of their Final Four game, so they had earned their spot too. My point is, that 2014 team struck gold, but I don't know that things would have worked out the same way under any other set of circumstances.
I think Ollie was a good coach that went through a personal rough patch and was flattened by UConn's exceptionally poor fit in a southern mid-major conference like the AAC. He was also the victim of some bad luck, like Gilbert's injury. I think that Ollie would have been more successful in a better conference like the Big East that had better regional rivals, and he probably would not have been fired when he was, which means we would not have gotten Hurley, which means we would not have gotten Murray, and would not have won the last two titles. Butterfly Effect.