The Committee claims Auburn is the 15th best team. The metrics say otherwise. I trust the people who have money on the line.
Auburn is actually the 7th most likely to win the championship, and the only reason they're not higher is because they have to go through us.
We are +105 (just shy of even money) to reach the Final Four. Auburn, our #4 seed, has the second best odds in our region at +380. Other 4-seeds are +900, +1300 (though the 5 seed is +800), and +550, even though their 1-seeds are weaker.
We actually have lower odds of making the Elite 8 (-160) than Purdue does (-170) despite being a considerably higher favorite to make the Final Four or win the championship.
Yes, I know, "they have to make it there first," but the odds tell us that our projected Sweet 16 matchup is the hardest of any 1-seed and likely an Elite 8 or Final Four caliber game.
We should have gotten Alabama and Auburn should have been considered the best 4 seed and gone West.