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Completely agree with the bolded statement. To the extent that I created the impression that I was claiming the data prove the cliché false, I communicated poorly. I shared the data because I thought it would create a reaction of surprise in people who had heard the old saying but never thought more deeply about it. Furthermore, I love promoting nuance, context and rational analysis over dogma.Good God. If you are asking what the "data" of knowing the two time loser wins 27% of the third games proves, I agree that it doesn't actually prove or disprove anything. To prove or disprove the original statement -- that the old saying is wrong -- requires either speculation or additional data setting for what the odds were of the teams winning the first two games. Is that unambiguous enough.
My original post was that the two time loser winning 27^ of the time does not disprove the old statement that it's hard to beat a team for the third straight time. It does not. You can not prove anything from the limited data provided.
All that being said, I suspect your argument is in bad faith, and you are just exercising your debate muscle.