I do think that you will exceed both Colorado and ASU in the win column. That said it's not an apples-to-apples comparison due to strength of schedule. For comparison purposes CU plays the following ranked opponents:
TCU, USC, Oregon, Oregon State, and Utah. They also play a rivalry game with Colorado State and a non-conference game with Nebraska.
The only ranked opponent on UConn's Schedule is UT. NCSU and Duke could potentially be ranked at some point during the year, but they currently are not. The rest of the schedule is a bad BC Team and a series of G5 Schools.
A better question is how do you feel Colorado would do against UConn's Schedule and vice versa? My guess is that both schools would win about 2-3 games against Colorado's Schedule, but I do believe that UConn would fare better against their current schedule than CU would. There is something to be said about continuity in coaching staffs and returning players. The Buffalos most certainly do not have either in Prime's first year, so they will rely on a few playmakers trying to make splash plays. Head-to-head I would favor UConn by -3.