Just checked all the head to head results of the top 4 teams. It would be much easier if we win, and UH & UCF lose. We'd win the head to head v USF.
UCF is 2-1 v UH, 2-1 v UConn, 1-4 v USF so far
USF is 1-2 v UConn, 2-1 v UH, 4-1 v UCF so far
UH is 1-2 v ICF, 2-1 v UConn, and 1-2 v USF
UConn is 2-1 v USF, 1-2 v UH, and 1-2 v UCF