It doesn't matter. Your schedule in the conference(weak) and no significant out of conference WINS(not close calls) is going to end up putting you behind Cincinnati and likely UCF in all the rankings as long as they finish out with wins and tie at 1 loss in the conference. Cincy will likely do that, but UCF has to beat E. Carolina who you didn't have to face. When you go around the conference and play all the best teams, then you have something. Otherwise, you are a one hit wonder with a very, very favorable conference schedule. Play UCF, E. Carolina, and Cincy in the same year, and let's see the result.