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Message: [QUOTE="UConnNick, post: 2208315, member: 1526"] No, that's true, and I seriously doubt there are a whole bunch of UConn fans predicting next season's team will win 25 games and be a lock for the NCAAs. I certainly am not. But you mentioned the word probabilities, and on that basis, we've been to five Final Fours in 18 seasons and we won four of them, while being denied the opportunity to play for the fifth at full strength because Dyson got injured. As far as luck is concerned, one or possibly two FF trips might be attributable to some degree of luck. It could also be argued that almost any team had to have luck at some point along the way on any FF run. However, five trips in 18 years cannot be completely explained away by luck. That's a trend. Whether or not that trend continues is problematic, but we'd be on schedule if we made another appearance sometime before the end of this decade, since we've been on average four to five years in between trips. Don't everybody go nuts and call this a prediction because it's not, but if we fail to make it again on that timetable, then I think it will be fair to say we may be on a semi-permanent downward spiral. To some extent, we've become victims of the huge expectations brought on by a lengthy period of mostly great successes. [/QUOTE]