UConn -7.5 v. Providence | Page 2 | The Boneyard

UConn -7.5 v. Providence

Tonite's BE results set the table for a shake up in the BE standings before a $2 a beer spanking of Providence at Gampel.. Beat #1 BE team by 15 here.. Show up for Senior Night and get it done.
 
UConn has been such a jeckyl and hyde team this year I wouldn't touch that line. The chances of the team blowing out Providence, leading early then fading late but still winning, and losing at home by a few buckets all seem about the same to me. I haven't watched the games lately for reasons but having seen the boxes the last few weeks it seems like the above three scenarios are most likely. Only the first one is likely to produce a -7.5.
 
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HeGotGame said:
Why
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Well let’s see, besides Marquette we haven’t played a good game in almost 3 months- besides Marquette , we ve lost to every “tough” team we ve played (since first butler game) and looked pretty blah against seton hall. I know lines , so obviously a simple person takes providence plus the seven and a hook and UConn somehow covers cuz the line makes no sense. why don’t you tell me why you think it should be 7.5? Hope I’m wrong and they win by 30 but eye test says no way
 
JB75 said:
Well let’s see, besides Marquette we haven’t played a good game in almost 3 months- besides Marquette , we ve lost to every “tough” team we ve played (since first butler game) and looked pretty blah against seton hall.
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We beat Creighton by 9 at Gampel in January. That seems like playing a good game to me. And I’m not sure why you’d said “besides Marquette”, anyway. Of course it seems like we haven’t played as well when you ignore the times we played well!
 
JB75 said:
Well let’s see, besides Marquette we haven’t played a good game in almost 3 months- besides Marquette , we ve lost to every “tough” team we ve played (since first butler game) and looked pretty blah against seton hall. I know lines , so obviously a simple person takes providence plus the seven and a hook and UConn somehow covers cuz the line makes no sense. why don’t you tell me why you think it should be 7.5? Hope I’m wrong and they win by 30 but eye test says no way
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Because all of the advanced metrics say the same as Vegas. KenPom has it as UConn -8, BartTorvik has it as UConn -8.9. We're home, on senior night, in a must win game for our seeding in the NCAA tournament.

And despite your claims, we actually have looked significantly better of late. In this most recent 5-2 stretch we're #11 on BartTorvik which is basically right in line with the total season numbers (#7)
 
JB75 said:
Well let’s see, besides Marquette we haven’t played a good game in almost 3 months- besides Marquette , we ve lost to every “tough” team we ve played (since first butler game) and looked pretty blah against seton hall. I know lines , so obviously a simple person takes providence plus the seven and a hook and UConn somehow covers cuz the line makes no sense. why don’t you tell me why you think it should be 7.5? Hope I’m wrong and they win by 30 but eye test says no way
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We were -5.5 at home vs Marquette two weeks ago. Marquette is rated higher than PC by every predictive rating metric. The line is obviously going to be higher than it was against Marquette.

It is actually pretty simple. But sure, you "know lines" ha.
 
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hayman522 said:
Hate to be Debbie Downer but I am predicting a Providence win. UConn has to prove to me they can close against a good team.
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If they can disrupt Newton, they can beat us. I think we know the scenarios by now when we are in trouble.
 
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hayman522 said:
Hate to be Debbie Downer but I am predicting a Providence win. UConn has to prove to me they can close against a good team.
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hayman with the haymaker!
not in spiritual agreement, but i do luv me some new/infrequent posters tossin napalm, so that's good.
yet
it ain't good to be a jive turkey Haman this close to the festival of lots. they strung him up, too, tho mebbe it was his 3 corner hat. they make a pretty dry pastry (pastry, ya, as if. cough, choke) for the holiday shaped like that. a blob of poppy seed sludge wrapped in a pound of lorna doone dough- not a cookie! even in persia! now that i think on this, im sure stella doro came up with that scam. lol.
 
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ToolzieFan said:
We beat Creighton by 9 at Gampel in January. That seems like playing a good game to me. And I’m not sure why you’d said “besides Marquette”, anyway. Of course it seems like we haven’t played as well when you ignore the times we played well!
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We ll see. Hope I’m wrong. Let’s see what happens tmrw and Saturday. Then I’lll agree , we ve been playing better as of late
 
giddyup said:
If it’s within 10 with 4 minutes left grab a handful of antacids for the cluster that follows.
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I’d expect a typical BE nail biter even OT but seems the bookies know something and we win by double digits? I think PC is only 5-7 away from home.
 
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ElGreco said:
I’d expect a typical BE nail biter even OT but seems the bookies know something and we win by double digits? I think PC is only 5-7 away from home.
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I just want us to rolll and put the clowns away early so we don’t have suffer through the close out wilt.
 
PNolanFan said:
I feel like the team is ready to womp providence. I like us winning by double digits
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Very possible. I hope you're right. Because we are going to have to do exactly that to come out with a W. Does anyone like us with a 4 point margin either way (them up or us up) with 5 minutes left in the game? That is the scenario I dread. Providence is one of the best teams Ive seen this year playing with poise in the stretch. We (to put it delicately) are the opposite.

This doesn't mean I think we are going to lose. I actually think we are going to win. The way this team wins is by womping you. So we need the womp!
 
August_West said:
Very possible. I hope you're right. Because we are going to have to do exactly that to come out with a W. Does anyone like us with a 4 point margin either way (them up or us up) with 5 minutes left in the game? That is the scenario I dread. Providence is one of the best teams Ive seen this year playing with poise in the stretch. We (to put it delicately) are the opposite.

This doesn't mean I think we are going to lose. I actually think we are going to win. The way this team wins is by womping you. So we need the womp!
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This is why I would take either UConn -7.5 or Providence +280, or both!
 
August_West said:
Very possible. I hope you're right. Because we are going to have to do exactly that to come out with a W. Does anyone like us with a 4 point margin either way (them up or us up) with 5 minutes left in the game? That is the scenario I dread. Providence is one of the best teams Ive seen this year playing with poise in the stretch. We (to put it delicately) are the opposite.

This doesn't mean I think we are going to lose. I actually think we are going to win. The way this team wins is by womping you. So we need the womp!
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Oh boy, I hope it isn't close and UConn demolishes them, it doesn't have to be on the level of the Marquette game, but a close game gives me no confidence in UConn. Providence is much more poised in close games for sure.
 
I would take the under. We know our defense always shows up and Cooley has enough capable bodies to make it hard for us. I think it's been bet down from 144 to 142 overnight.
 
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