UConn -4.5 v. Gonzaga | The Boneyard

UConn -4.5 v. Gonzaga

-4.5 is higher than I would have expected.

As I have suggested over the last year, we tend to win big or lose narrowly. So I would take us against the spread and/or Gonzaga moneyline.
 
One of my tried and true betting trends is a Top 25 team getting more than 2.5 pts on their home court.

That said, this isn't their "home court". All 6 meetings we've had with them have been on a neutral court and we've won 4 of them including last year's 82-54 Western Reg Final. They don't have answers for what we're going to throw at them.

Not worried at all. Lay the -4.5.

***The Deepster is 4-1 ATS this season.
 
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i watch a lot of dan hurley-coached games, so i think i can safely say that this will either be a close loss or a double digit win. not a lot of use in taking the points then, right?
 
i watch a lot of dan hurley-coached games, so i think i can safely say that this will either be a close loss or a double digit win. not a lot of use in taking the points then, right?
Yes, like, I said, I would either take UConn -4.5 (really up to like -7.5) or take Gonzaga +200 or whatever.
 
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We will stomp Gorgonzola
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So I have ESPNBet (used to be Barstool) and BetMGM. Neither of them ever shows me a line on a regular season game until the day of the game. Anybody know why? Is this a Mass rule or something? I can bet on NCAA Tournament games much eariler.
 
I pretty much always take the emotional hedge when we are favorites in these types of games. DraftKings has yet to open up the ML yet but spread is up to 5 points. Gonzaga +5 is a nice number to double dip on a UConn win and cashing a ticket… although Dan Hurley can’t win close games (which is probably why he chooses to blow the doors off of all our opponents).
 
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I pretty much always take the emotional hedge when we are favorites in these types of games. DraftKings has yet to open up the ML yet but spread is up to 5 points. Gonzaga +5 is a nice number to double dip on a UConn win and cashing a ticket… although Dan Hurley can’t win close games (which is probably why he chooses to blow the doors off of all our opponents).
Every time I took an emotional hedge by betting the opponent to cover +5 or so, we either won by 15 or lost lol.

So now I either double down on UConn covering the spread or go with the full emotional hedge and take the opponent moneyline so I get paid big if we lose (though no possibility of winning both).
 
I just can't fellas ever bet against UConn and then hope for an adverse outcome within the game like Karaban to miss a FT for me to win my bet against the spread. That turns my world upside down.

Now betting against my other favorite teams the NY Giants or the NY Yankees or the former Whalers, or I will do that in a heartbeat if I see $$ opportunity with that.
 
Men against boys. My only concern is about a 10 PM tip. Our kids don't usually play at midnight. Then again, they are kids. Does anyone know when the team departed?
 
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So I have ESPNBet (used to be Barstool) and BetMGM. Neither of them ever shows me a line on a regular season game until the day of the game. Anybody know why? Is this a Mass rule or something? I can bet on NCAA Tournament games much eariler.
Same thing with my books, both legal and illegal. Lines start posting 12-24 hrs prior to game. For last Saturday’s noon game, our line wasn’t up til like 9AM. NCAA tourney games garner waaaay more action than random college games throughout the year, so they try to get some business. On that note, my book has lines for almost every NFL game during the year up before the season starts. Wild.
 
-4.5 is higher than I would have expected.

As I have suggested over the last year, we tend to win big or lose narrowly. So I would take us against the spread and/or Gonzaga moneyline.
Opposite. UConn moneyline, Zags spread. Win both.
 
If you’re outside of CT, DraftKings is offering a 50% profit boost on the game for any bet
 
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