I guess I'll be the guy who takes the other side (I'd never actually bet against UConn but I thought the line would be less than what it is).
Michigan is hard as hell to guard. They have one of the best players in the country and a damn good coach. They got exposed by Xavier, but that might have been what they needed - if Michigan has any pride they'll come out fighting tonight.
We haven't seen UConn play anybody yet (UNH is a decent team that has a shot to dance but obviously they don't have the talent Michigan does). They struggled a bit defensively in the second half against UNH and then again against Furman. They're still working out the kinks against the zone, and if they throw a 1-3-1 at us, it might confuse us for a while.
I'd say it's closer to a toss-up and I'm about as high on this UConn team as anybody.