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UConn +2 at KU
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[QUOTE="Tenspro2002, post: 4806117, member: 889"] The more I think about it, I don't know what to think regarding the total. I could see any of: A) We get going early and hold on to win in a shootout (83-75 W, Over) B) We struggle to shoot and get a horrible whistle at both ends all game, they win keeping us at arm's length (75-64 L, Under) C) We fall behind early, frantically try to catch up but can't get enough stops, lots of fouling at the end in vain (85-78 L, Over) D) Both teams struggle to shoot and the game remains tight throughout, pace slows way down (68-65 W or L, Under) Note that Kansas has played 3 neutral-site games against top 10 teams and: 1) completed a huge comeback to beat Kentucky in a shootout that could have gone the other way, 2) lost badly to Marquette where they couldn't score, 3) beat Tennessee in a low-scoring game. So they can win or lose in high-scoring or low-scoring games. I think I slightly prefer taking us and the points at +2.5 or so, where we cover in a 1-possession game either way. I wouldn't be able to stomach picking KU -2.5 and then having us lose by a bucket. That said, if teased lines are available, I would think about picking UConn -6.5 or so (probably in the +200 or +300 range, just guessing since I don't have a great feel for this). If we are going to win, it's more likely to be by a margin based on them having to foul us at the end than eking one out at the buzzer. Good luck picking this one. [/QUOTE]
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