UConn -16.5 vs. Providence

[uconn_jack]

The wheels may be coming off for Providence, but they always get up for playing us, are probably fuming over their loss to us a few weeks ago while confident they can hang with us, and we're not exactly firing on all cylinders or showing a killer instinct for blowing someone out.

Yeah, but we might also be embarrassed for almost losing that game too. I suspect we will come out with more intensity than we've seen lately.

 

[uconn_jack]

Let’s see if the suits show up.

That's the main concern for me is if this is overly physical and the refs get whistle happy. Not that I think we'll be at risk of losing, but could end up being a very disjointed game. I just hope it isnt a repeat of the PC game in Gampel a couple years back, that was torturous to watch.

 

[MTBingNinja]

I...have a hard time seeing this, even if Mullins is playing (which I haven't heard one way or another).

Been saying for the past five games. The spreads have been way high.

 

[StllH8L8ner]

We are every Big East team’s Superbowl, World Series and Stanley Cup rolled into one. I hope we win in an easy one but every team comes to play when they see the Husky logo. At some point I do think Solo and Braylon will be raining threes and breaking hearts but it may not be until the tourney when they can move around a little more freely vs having a defender’s arm wrapped around them on every cut in league play.

 

[CardiacAndre7]

you're not a gambler, are you

Not particularly. Apologies if I used wrong terminology

 

[UCFan1513]

It would be nice to start murdering mediocre teams, imo

 

[Deepster]

Because I have more of an edge betting on a team I know than on the 100+ teams I don't.

Do you? You'd need to hit UConn games at a clip higher than 55% to make any money and they're 7-12 ATS so far this season.

Hint: You have no edge.

 

[FfldCntyFan]

If we win every game from here on out but don't cover a single one it won't bother me in the least.

 

[REB1094]

UConn goes up by 20, cruises to an easy win, PC cuts it down to 13 in garbage time against the bench, we miss the cover and the BY melts down

Book it

 

[JustbrewitMan]

If I were forced to place a bet, I'd put it on the over total 155.5 pts. PC defense is bad, they play games to get scores up in the 80's fairly consistently.

 

[Mr. French]

Do you? You'd need to hit UConn games at a clip higher than 55% to make any money and they're 7-12 ATS so far this season.

Hint: You have no edge.

He didn’t say he bets ON UConn, he said he knows UConn so betting their games give him an edge vs betting random teams he doesn’t follow.

 

[StllH8L8ner]

If we win every game from here on out but don't cover a single one it won't bother me in the least.

 

[Tenspro2002]

He didn’t say he bets ON UConn, he said he knows UConn so betting their games give him an edge vs betting random teams he doesn’t follow.

This. Knowing your own team can be hugely advantageous.

I made a good amount last year live-betting UConn WBB Unders once Bueckers, Fudd, and Strong were out of the game in the 4th quarter. (Note: don't try it this year, Kelis Fisher is a menace.) Edges are usually overblown, and arrogant gamblers have no qualms about boasting whether they succeed or not, but they do exist.

 

[uconngb]

Not particularly. Apologies if I used wrong terminology

All good

 

[uconngb]

Do you? You'd need to hit UConn games at a clip higher than 55% to make any money and they're 7-12 ATS so far this season.

Hint: You have no edge.

7-13 after Nova game and 2-9 at home

 

[Mr. French]

This. Knowing your own team can be hugely advantageous.

I made a good amount last year live-betting UConn WBB Unders once Bueckers, Fudd, and Strong were out of the game in the 4th quarter. (Note: don't try it this year, Kelis Fisher is a menace.) Edges are usually overblown, and arrogant gamblers have no qualms about boasting whether they succeed or not, but they do exist.

Do you think this is a get right game for UConn or like lately, PC will keep it close?

 

[HuskyHawk]

I don't bet against UConn, but this sure seems like a time to do it.

 

[Deepster]

This. Knowing your own team can be hugely advantageous.

I made a good amount last year live-betting UConn WBB Unders once Bueckers, Fudd, and Strong were out of the game in the 4th quarter. (Note: don't try it this year, Kelis Fisher is a menace.) Edges are usually overblown, and arrogant gamblers have no qualms about boasting whether they succeed or not, but they do exist.

Yeah, I don't agree with this one bit. "Knowing your team" does not beat a Vegas algorithm.

3 of the last 7 UConn games have been decided by a bucket. You knowing your team does nothing there.

 

[CTBasketball]

$2 beer night and the students have 12 hours of no classes to pregame $2 beer night. UConn by 30

College students don’t really drink that much anymore. At least in Connecticut.

 

[NJHusky]

Yeah, I don't agree with this one bit. "Knowing your team" does not beat a Vegas algorithm.

3 of the last 7 UConn games have been decided by a bucket. You knowing your team does nothing there.

How do you beat Vegas? If we win by 20 does vegas win? If we win by 2 does Vegas win or lose? Doesn't it depend where the money is? If 80% of the money is on PC and the ponts, and we win by 5, how does Vegas win? I always thought Vegas wanted equal money on both sides and to make money on the Vig?

 

[Mr. French]

Yeah, I don't agree with this one bit. "Knowing your team" does not beat a Vegas algorithm.

3 of the last 7 UConn games have been decided by a bucket. You knowing your team does nothing there.

They were double digit favorites and many UConn fans who follow the team realized it would be tough to cover…so I don’t get your point

 

[Storrs South]

My desire to start betting against UConn and the spread is overwhelming... I just know the second I do, I lose the $. But, I mean, have the odds makers actually watched us? I feel like we never cover.

I predict a victory - again, higher scoring that is close throughout. I'm feeling 83-75 with free throws widening the margin. Key will be getting Oswin in foul trouble. If we do, we blow them out. But with Mullins out, I anticipate PC overplaying everything, and Tarris ends up standing awkwardly with the ball at the 3-point line, trying to take people off the dribble.

Been betting against UConn covering the spread since Seton Hall and it has been a profitable venture. I want this team to make me lose money so badly but they won't do it.

 

[UCLJ0211]

In 2023 we lost at PC by 12 and then beat them a few weeks later at home by 18. Doesn’t seem too far fetched to think we could do the same this year.

 

[Deepster]

They were double digit favorites and many UConn fans who follow the team realized it would be tough to cover…so I don’t get your point

Regardless of the spread, if you know your team you’re implying you have an edge. A when a random bucket decides you win or lose a bet, there is no “edge”.

 

[Tenspro2002]

Regardless of the spread, if you know your team you’re implying you have an edge. A when a random bucket decides you win or lose a bet, there is no “edge”.

The point isn't that you never lose. The point is that you win in the long run.

If I can bet on an outcome that occurs 60% of the time, but I get even odds on it, I have an edge, even though I lose 40% of the time.

 

[superjohn]

The point isn't that you never lose. The point is that you win in the long run.

If I can bet on an outcome that occurs 60% of the time, but I get even odds on it, I have an edge, even though I lose 40% of the time.

You're one of the 3% who beats Vegas? Everyone else I know who bets on sports is in that 3%, it's strange.

 

[Mr. French]

Regardless of the spread, if you know your team you’re implying you have an edge. A when a random bucket decides you win or lose a bet, there is no “edge”.

Not to belabor a point, but this still doesn't make any sense. If the game was decided by a bucket and you thought, because you know your team well, that they won't cover 10+ point spreads, then indeed your knowledge of your team helped you win a bet by betting the other team would cover the 10 points.

That's your Nova example, that can be your first Providence game example, that can be the Georgetown game example.

 

[auror]

Been betting against UConn covering the spread since Seton Hall and it has been a profitable venture. I want this team to make me lose money so badly but they won't do it.

Same but taking the opponent moneylines and it has been a very unprofitable venture, which is for the best.

 

[FreeDogs]

I...have a hard time seeing this, even if Mullins is playing (which I haven't heard one way or another).

Dang, I don't bet, but I might on the under.

 

[August_West]

Hurley should use this game as a showcase for Jamier Jones and Vaaks, maybe take them around campus and through the practice facility after the game..

Vaaks Maybe. Jamier Jones no thank you. Kid is talented but allergic to coaching.