UConn (-11.5) | The Boneyard
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UConn (-11.5)

11.5 is an inflection point.

Less than that and it's possible for the favorite to cover as long as they have any kind of a lead and there's fouling in the final minute. Above that, it basically requires a blowout (or expanding a lead late in the game).

Not sure I see a blowout here on the road in our first action after an extended break.
 
6-7 ATS this year.
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I don't really like these double digit spreads. But we should expect this for most BE games this year
 
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We will be double digit faves against all teams from here on out except for at SJU/Cr/Nova.

We have not been covering.

Total crap shoot with these spreads. I lean towards the points usually.
 
We will be double digit faves against all teams from here on out except for at SJU/Cr/Nova.

We have not been covering.

Total crap shoot with these spreads. I lean towards the points
 
11.5 is an inflection point.

Less than that and it's possible for the favorite to cover as long as they have any kind of a lead and there's fouling in the final minute. Above that, it basically requires a blowout (or expanding a lead late in the game).

Not sure I see a blowout here on the road in our first action after an extended break.
I feel like in the past good free-throw teams with the lead the spread would diverge down the final stretch due to fouling. Lately it seems like every game the spread converges due to press turnovers, hitting desperation threes, light foul calls and missing free throws. A double digit spread has to be a blow out, otherwise the spread will tighten up under the line.
 
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I feel like in the past good free-throw teams with the lead the spread would diverge down the final stretch due to fouling. Lately it seems like every game the spread converges due to press turnovers, hitting desperation threes, light foul calls and missing free throws. A double digit spread has to be a blow out, otherwise the spread will tighten up under the line.
Right after typing this I lost Navy -5.5 to a last second 3 to miss the line by 1/2 a point when Navy was up by 15 with 4 mins left. fml, happens way too often.
 
We will be double digit faves against all teams from here on out except for at SJU/Cr/Nova.

We have not been covering.

Total crap shoot with these spreads. I lean towards the points
We haven’t covered against cupcakes, that’s true. But we did cover against both Butler and DePaul to open up the Big East. People probably assume we didn’t cover those games due to our slow starts
 
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