I was thinking about this recently but I kind of think our 2014 team would give us some trouble, with the way that Bazz and Boat made life difficult for larger guards. I think Newton would get taken off his game a little and Spencer would have a hard time shaking free. Daniels wouldn’t be a bad choice to guard Karaban too. So that type of team that could come out with small quick water bug guards that get in our shirts and speed us up.
Who out there is like them? PC has been the top BE team defensively in the metrics and they are kinda similar the way they guard you - Carter is on a level with Bazz as a two-way player, although Boat was way better than Pierre (our 2014 team didn’t have a post player in the same realm as Oduro so that part of the parallel doesn’t work). We survived them at home but they definitely made it their style of game, so we’ll see what happens at their place.
Houston seems to fit the profile - veteran guards who really defend and then they get just enough offense to survive. Kansas scored pretty freely on them at home, but maybe that was an anomaly.
On the flip side, I’d also be nervous of a team with firepower that could bomb you out of the tourney with threes. Kentucky doesn’t defend - but catch them on a day when they’re all hitting and feeding off each other and they could be scary since I’m not sure we have foot speed 1-5 to lock down the perimeter. And once you’re behind and start feeling the pressure, it gets harder. You can’t necessarily depend on Cal to screw it up.