UCLA vs Gonzaga | Page 8 | The Boneyard

UCLA vs Gonzaga

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Gonzaga did their best to give this game away but prevailed! UCLA was obviously hampered by key injuries - killed them this game. Loss of inside game and no bench. Gutsy effort by them.
 
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And that's why you miss the second! Campbell had a straight on look from 30 feet that almost went in. 80 feet off of a rebound is much harder!

Counter, they lose if they make that shot off the rebound. Make the second and worst case is OT.
 
that was like Steph Curry and Ray Allen distance. OMG!
At the end of the game, EVERYTHING is in range…How many times have we seen players make the impossible shot with the game on the line?
 
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Karaban on Jaquez and finding somebody to match Tygers quickness would’ve been tough matchups. I’ll live and die with Sanogo on Timme
 
Feel for UCLA, what a shot though, onions!

The Zags are a solid team, but nothing better than what we've faced this season. Our guys will hopefully be up to the task.
 
They put us in the Catholic school bracket. I guess we're kind of used to them by now.
 
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History will repeat itself.
Groundhogs-Day-mashup.jpg
 
But if he missed and they hit a miracle they lose.
I just look at the odds though. If he misses, the odds that they rebound and can hoist up a 3 from 80 feet away is under 1%. If he makes it, the odds that they can throw it down the court, catch it clean enough to make a three is maybe 15%? 20%? Then the odds of losing in overtime is around 50%. So when you combine both events happening, the odds of UCLA winning is 7.5%? 10%? No matter how much you adjust the percentages, the odds of UCLA winning are significantly higher with a made free throw.
 
Counter, they lose if they make that shot off the rebound. Make the second and worst case is OT.
I can live with that.

The odds of them making an 80 footer are much, much less than their odds of making one from out of bounds.
 
I just look at the odds though. If he misses, the odds that they rebound and can hoist up a 3 from 80 feet away is under 1%. If he makes it, the odds that they can throw it down the court, catch it clean enough to make a three is maybe 15%? 20%? Then the odds of losing in overtime is around 50%. So when you combine both events happening, the odds of UCLA winning is 7.5%? 10%? No matter how much you adjust the percentages, the odds of UCLA winning are significantly higher with a made free throw.
Television 90S GIF
 
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The fact of the matter is that Gonzaga is and has been a perennial poster child for March for 20+ years (even though they still have zero hardware to show for it). If you want to make the legions of casuals (who know Gonzaga, Duke, Kansas, and little else) take notice and add UConn back to that group, this is the team we want to go through to get to the FF.
 
IF Gonzaga comes back, we could bully the heck out of them.

Obviously, if Bona is still out for UCLA, that’s huge, but Nwaba ain’t bad defensively.

Still in AZ, so whoever wins, no scouting report til late Saturday morning. No business starting these before my travels, per mojo.
FYI You’re a really short flight to Vegas
 
We lost to UCLA in the regional final in '96 (?) and didn't get to the final four.

We beat Gonzaga in the regional final in '99 and went to the final four and won it all.

So from a historic perspective, it is the right match up.
 
UCLA is swinging at the arm trying to knock the ball loose, no foul call.

I look forward to the day when refs call the last 2-3 minutes the same way they call the first 37 minutes.
It won't happen, the refs got to live. Just let them play.
 
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