Top Four in Final four

[UcMiami]

Cardfan - thanks for the update, I had no idea Stanford had suffered so many injuries this year - what specific on the Boothe injury? I think you still have the starting talent and the superstar, but I agree depth at this point could be a real problem. Because the Pac doesn't not generally have teams that really callenge Stanford it is always hard to get a read on how well they are developing as a team during the second half of the regualr season.

 

[cardfan]

Card, I did not realize the extent of the injuries to Stanford. Tough year.

thanks Ice. What's tough is losing pgs with speed (and shooters/dibble penetrators). Toni K. is doing well, but we need help from Orrange and Lindy. We just aren't shooting well the 3pt, so Ruef and the others would have helped there too.

Camp, Ruef and Boothe have foot problems (plantar fasciitis) and Green torn her Achilles in practice before UConn game.

 

[cardfan]

Cardfan, who will emerge to beat them? Any losses on the horizon?

We have USC and UCLA home next Thurs and Sat, but we should beat them. Feb. 9th at Oregon St and March 4 (TV) at Cal will be tough games. No matter the competition, Stanford needs to execute better, especially early in the game when we tend to get off to slow starts. We need to cut down on TOs and shoot better from the outside.

 

[cardfan]

So what other decent team might get into Stanford's bracket?

Duke, MD, Georgetown to name a few. I know TN wants to be in our bracket, but doubt NCAA would send them that far. It'd be nice though to see Nneka and Toni (who thought was a slow guard) to go off on them again.

 

[wire chief]

The reasons that highlight Stanford's vulnerability
--forced to overtime recently
--team injuries
--Duke's mere 2 point loss to ND on a neutral court

 

[alexrgct]

Let's say the odds for a typical #1 seed are as follows:

99%- winning Round 1
92.5%- winning Round 2
80%- winning Round 3
65%- winning Round 4

That would mean that the #1 seed has a 47.62% chance of making the Final Four, and there's a 5.14% chance of all four making it...if all four were "typical."

Now, that does not mean all #1 seeds are "typical". For instance, UConn in 2009 and 2010 probably had a 90%+ chance of winning each of its first four games. I would not afford any team in the field this season with that kind of consideration, though Baylor is better than typical.

Let's say there were four 2010 UConn-caliber teams out there, just for argument's sake. The odds would then be:

99%- winning Round 1
99%- winning Round 2
95%- winning Round 3
90%- winning Round 4

Even with those odds, even with the ludicrous possibility of there being four such teams, there's only a 49.31% chance at the onset of the tourney of all four #1 seeds making the F4.

In short, chances are strong that we won't see all four #1s.

 

[rington]

I predict that Delaware will upset UCONN, thus resulting in the firing of the entire UCONN staff and the loss of every recruit for the next two years.

The Delaware men?

 

[cardfan]

Card offense woke up today, 91-51 over Ariz.

 

[easttexastrash]

The Delaware men?

The Delaware football team. They will have lots of fouls to give.

 

[triaddukefan]

The Delaware football team. They will have lots of fouls to give.

Dont you mean fowls? After all, they are the Blue Hens