That's fair. I was thinking 50%, so maybe I did over estimate. Do we have an average college number for over 10?
I looked at the individual QB data and here are my estimates for medium and deep passes:
Average for 10-19 yards = ~48% (Evers at 45.8%)
Average for 20+ yards = ~30 to 32% (Evers at 29.4%)
The top college QBs:
Average for 10-19 yards = ~60% (Evers at 45.8%)
Average for 20+ yards = ~40% (Evers at 29.4%)
Evers has played 5 college football games, so being about an average college QB is positive and I would expect him to continue to improve.