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That would be my “realistic” preference since I don’t see it ever going back to a bowl system. 16 to 20 teams. But cut regular season to 11 games or 12 if you don’t have a league championship game.Every other division of college football has a sixteen team playoff.
I actually think another problem that is different from the basketball tournament is that basketball is not directly competing with the NBA playoffs. And relatedly it is a very different format with 1-done. Football is and the format is too similar. In the NCAA tourney UMBC can beat Virginia. They wouldn’t in a best of 7 or even best if 3. That adds an element of chance Sure if they played 50 times Virginia probably wins 49. But that 1 makes it. In football you are not only competing with the NFL playoffs but there is no differentiation. To borrow an idea from Hank Stram it’s the same game as the NFL, just with smaller, slower people. If you have no life I suppose it doesn’t matter. But for the casual fan, who has to choose, the NFL will win most of the time. Final factor: college football is more like baseball than the NFL. People care about “regional” or local teams. So when there are no western teams in the playoffs they do poorly. If there are no Midwestern ones they don’t get great draws in Michigan. That, fwiw is why Notre Dame is going to get the bid over Florida or Texas A&M. It is one of the few programs, maybe the only one, with a national following.