The NET is out, UConn debuts at #13

[andy34]

The NCAA's NET ranking is out, and will be updated daily going forward. We debut at #13, which is pretty nice, but like all statistical models there's a lot of noise that will be filtered out the further into the season we get.

 

[7774]

LOL Syracuse at 117. Ouch.

 

[elmcityboy]

surprised that there are four teams ahead of us who have played worse schedules! i guess our slate in atlantis really bring up the average.

 

[MJ1]

The NCAA's NET ranking is out, and will be updated daily going forward. We debut at #13, which is pretty nice, but like all statistical models there's a lot of noise that will be filtered out the further into the season we get.


View attachment 71580

Is there a breakdown by conference or just individual teams ?

 

[BlueMAB]

Is there a breakdown by conference or just individual teams ?

click on the link, it's sortable by conference.

 

[Inyatkin]

Always knew it would come down to us and Wyoming

 

[F101Voodoo]

LOL Syracuse at 117. Ouch.

I thought for a minute that you were joking about Cuse- 117. OMG, !

 

[F101Voodoo]

surprised that there are four teams ahead of us who have played worse schedules! i guess our slate in atlantis really bring up the average.

In Atlantis if one of the 3 shots w3nt in or we got a couple defensive bebounds we may not have been in position to lose that one game. But I understand that Ifs and Buts are as reliable as a Maybe.

 

[storrsroars]

We dropped in KenPom though, out of the teens into the 20s.

 

[Greedo]

We dropped in KenPom though, out of the teens into the 20s.

Friendship ended with KenPom. Now NET is my best friend.

 

[HuskyHawk]

I thought for a minute that you were joking about Cuse- 117. OMG, !

I know. How are they that high?

 

[Dooooooomed]

 

[Dooooooomed]

Current & Future AAC (ie We Dodged A Bullet) NET:

4 Houston
35 UAB
45 Cincy
59 UCF
65 Memphis
66 Wichita State
104 North Texas
131 SMU
144 ECU
183 Temple
186 Tulane
199 Rice
201 Charlotte
216 Tulsa
226 FAU
279 South Florida
313 UTSA

 

[ThabeetDown]

UConn opponents:

Nova #5 (Quad 1 x2)
Auburn #16 (Quad 1)
MSU #19 (Quad 1)
Seton Hall #21 (Quad 1 x2)
Xavier #30 (Quad 1 x2)
PC #37 (Quad 1 away, Quad 2 home)
VCU #72 (Quad 2)
WVU #73 (Quad 1)
Marquette #78 (Quad 2 away, Quad 3 home)
Bonnies #88 (Quad 2)
Creighton #89 (Quad 2 away, Quad 3 home)
DePaul #94 (Quad 2 away, Quad 3 home)
St. Johns #108 (Quad 2 away, Quad 3 home)
Butler #197 (Quad 3 away, Quad 4 home)
Gtown #247 (Quad 4 x2 -- sheesh)

Obviously the West Va game looms large even if it's a fringe Quad 1. A win would help us a lot more than a loss would hurt us. Have to take care of business vs the Bonnies -- it won't turn into a Quad 1 unless they break the top 50.

St. John's not being Top 100 currently is kind of surprising but in all fairness their best win so far is vs St. Peter's so...

 

[MU in MKE]

UConn opponents:

Nova #5 (Quad 1 x2)
Auburn #16 (Quad 1)
MSU #19 (Quad 1)
Seton Hall #21 (Quad 1 x2)
Xavier #30 (Quad 1 x2)
PC #37 (Quad 1 away, Quad 2 home)
VCU #72 (Quad 2)
WVU #73 (Quad 1)
Marquette #78 (Quad 2 away, Quad 3 home)
Bonnies #88 (Quad 2)
Creighton #89 (Quad 2 away, Quad 3 home)
DePaul #94 (Quad 2 away, Quad 3 home)
St. Johns #108 (Quad 2 away, Quad 3 home)
Butler #197 (Quad 3 away, Quad 4 home)
Gtown #247 (Quad 4 x2 -- sheesh)

Obviously the West Va game looms large even if it's a fringe Quad 1. A win would help us a lot more than a loss would hurt us. Have to take care of business vs the Bonnies -- it won't turn into a Quad 1 unless they break the top 50.

St. John's not being Top 100 currently is kind of surprising but in all fairness their best win so far is vs St. Peter's so...

To put into perspective how bad Butler and GTown are doing... The worst finish for a BE team in NET is DePaul in 2019 at a NET of 102.

But keep in mind, a win against any of decent team will make them jump considerably. Probably Q3 at season end.

 

[Slasher]

Current & Future AAC (ie We Dodged A Bullet) NET:

4 Houston
35 UAB
45 Cincy
59 UCF
65 Memphis
66 Wichita State
104 North Texas
131 SMU
144 ECU
183 Temple
186 Tulane
199 Rice
201 Charlotte
216 Tulsa
226 FAU
279 South Florida
313 UTSA

SMU and Temple are embarrassing.

 

[SubbaBub]

Say we end up with 10 Q1 games. How many wins do we need to lock up a bid?
6-7?

 

[UConNick]

Say we end up with 10 Q1 games. How many wins do we need to lock up a bid?
6-7?

That’s tough to say, depends imo on how many (hopefully none) Q3/Q4 losses we have. Obviously if we end up with any, we’ll need even more Q1 victories to make up for it. I think if we take care of business, just to make the tournament, we would probably find our way in at 4-6 in 10 Q1 games, provided we’re something like 7-3 in Q2 games, and undefeated in Qs 3/4.

And I could very easily be off base here, I’m just going off the top of my head with random numbers. I’m sure there’s research out there that can make a more educated guess.

 

[auror]

Say we end up with 10 Q1 games. How many wins do we need to lock up a bid?
6-7?

A bid? 3? Assuming you do well in Q2.

A decent seed? 4-6.

 

[MU in MKE]

Say we end up with 10 Q1 games. How many wins do we need to lock up a bid?
6-7?

It's not that simple. It also depends on the losses, SoS, NET rating, etc.

 

[Tiamat7]

History of the NET has shown that 9-10 early out of conference games does tend to be a reasonable compass for March.

Exceptions exist, of course--see Colgate during Covid (they didn't play OOC) and Wagner at #23 now (respect to mid majors!)---but our #13 rating bodes well.

 

[Kolumbo]

Georgetown is a big problem. That program needs to get fixed fast. G'town needs to be a conference leader, not another dog like BCU was, just weighing the conference down.

 

[Tiamat7]

Georgetown is a big problem. That program needs to get fixed fast. G'town needs to be a conference leader, not another dog like BCU was, just weighing the conference down.

Amen. It's mind numbing that they can't seem to get it together. Last year's tournament run was largely a fluke -- yes they got on a roll, but it would have ended early had Gillespie not been injured for Nova.

Can @Hey Adrien! or someone else explain why this team isn't consistently in the top third of the BE with
+ Rich history
+National brand
+Amazing recruiting footprint
+Terrific school (perhaps, like Notre Dame, this limits them due to academic requirements)
+Loyal DC fan base
+Recognizable coach

Ewing can recruit. But can he coach and manage young people?

 

[auror]

Amen. It's mind numbing that they can't seem to get it together. Last year's tournament run was largely a fluke -- yes they got on a roll, but it would have ended early had Gillespie not been injured for Nova.

Can @Hey Adrien! or someone else explain why this team isn't consistently in the top third of the BE with
+ Rich history
+National brand
+Amazing recruiting footprint
+Terrific school (perhaps, like Notre Dame, this limits them due to academic requirements)
+Loyal DC fan base
+Recognizable coach

Ewing can recruit. But can he coach and manage young people?

They hired the wrong coach three times in a row. Maybe 2.5 times (JT3 was decent for a bit).