- Joined
- Mar 9, 2013
- Messages
- 2,015
- Reaction Score
- 5,892
6 since we haven't NOT wont the 2024 tournament yet.
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an alternative browser.
You should upgrade or use an alternative browser.
The Azzi Fudd Conundrum
- Thread starter RockyMTblue2
- Start date
I imagine all of them hurt for most fans. But for some reason 22 still bugs. Lol. I know SC was the best team that year but I still think the team just started sooo slow in that game. I also still think Dorka would've helped a lot in that game. I'm happy that the SC class atleast got one ring cuz they were great, but that one still hurts.Yea, that's not how numbers work.
2016 - 4 NCs in a row
2017 - FF (1)
2018 - FF (2)
2019 - FF (3)
2020 - covid (4 or 3)
2021 - FF (5 or 4)
2022 - NC game (6 or 5)
2023 - S16 (7 or 6)
2024 - hasn't started yet let, alone finished.
So UCONN is either 7 or 6 seasons without a NC (closer to a 1/2 decade than a full decade) If you want to "round" you should have rounded down.
OR (if you're an actual UCONN fan)
7 or 6 seasons since winning 4 NCs in a row.
I'm not so sure. I think everyone gets bumped but not everyone gets her injuries. Even back when she was in high school, the injuries happened.Meh. If someone hadn't bumped into her leg at two different points in the season, we might not be having a discussion about whether she's injury prone. For the first incident, she was in the wrong spot at the wrong time.
- Joined
- Dec 1, 2022
- Messages
- 738
- Reaction Score
- 2,891
Hard to separate her injury history from her performance. Yes, she has a great shot with a quick release. But, she was a very mixed-bag trying to create her shot off the dribble, and can be turnovers prone. She is also below average defensively and has slow foot speed and court speed. Her weaknesses are probably due to her knee, but you can't separate it.
- Joined
- Mar 9, 2013
- Messages
- 2,015
- Reaction Score
- 5,892
I disagree with most of this. She is a very strong perimeter defender and thought she was excellent last season creating her shot off the dribble, especially before she was injured.Hard to separate her injury history from her performance. Yes, she has a great shot with a quick release. But, she was a very mixed-bag trying to create her shot off the dribble, and can be turnovers prone. She is also below average defensively and has slow foot speed and court speed. Her weaknesses are probably due to her knee, but you can't separate it.
Single elimination tournaments have a small probability of identifying the best team.
The problem of ordering teams (players), best to worst, was studied in 1883 by Charles Lutwidge Dodgson who was a lecturer in mathematics at Oxford. Later in life he became famous under his pen name Lewis Carroll - the author of Alice's Adventures in Wonderland and other books!
For the most recent tournament, the 538 predictions before the start of the tournament for the probability of winning the championship was 68% for South Carolina, 5% for UConn, and 3% for LSU. Correspondingly, it was 3% for UConn (Men). The South Carolina prediction is an unusually high probability. We know who won, and we may argue we know who the best teams in the tournament were. But were they the best teams in 2022/2023.
The best teams have a higher probability of winning tournaments where the format is like the NBA (best of many games) or World Cup Soccer (Pool followed by single elimination). Single game elimination is likely more exciting for the fans because on any given night, the best teams can be upset.
Since this thread is about Azzi, I shall draw the connection between the study of single elimination formats and the likelihood of players getting injured. It is hard to predict which players will get injured and which players will not. The fact that Azzi has been injured before does not make her more likely to be injured in the future unless she either started out with structural/physical issues or has not healed from recent injuries. In a contact sport, people do get injured. Odds are that probability of injury will revert to the mean and since Azzi has already been injured, she may go the rest of her playing career without getting injured at a level that limits her playing time. That is my wish.
Azzi and Paige will be back and be ready to show us in games that they can make 11 out of 12 three point baskets, as a recent Azzi video showed!
The problem of ordering teams (players), best to worst, was studied in 1883 by Charles Lutwidge Dodgson who was a lecturer in mathematics at Oxford. Later in life he became famous under his pen name Lewis Carroll - the author of Alice's Adventures in Wonderland and other books!
For the most recent tournament, the 538 predictions before the start of the tournament for the probability of winning the championship was 68% for South Carolina, 5% for UConn, and 3% for LSU. Correspondingly, it was 3% for UConn (Men). The South Carolina prediction is an unusually high probability. We know who won, and we may argue we know who the best teams in the tournament were. But were they the best teams in 2022/2023.
The best teams have a higher probability of winning tournaments where the format is like the NBA (best of many games) or World Cup Soccer (Pool followed by single elimination). Single game elimination is likely more exciting for the fans because on any given night, the best teams can be upset.
Since this thread is about Azzi, I shall draw the connection between the study of single elimination formats and the likelihood of players getting injured. It is hard to predict which players will get injured and which players will not. The fact that Azzi has been injured before does not make her more likely to be injured in the future unless she either started out with structural/physical issues or has not healed from recent injuries. In a contact sport, people do get injured. Odds are that probability of injury will revert to the mean and since Azzi has already been injured, she may go the rest of her playing career without getting injured at a level that limits her playing time. That is my wish.
Azzi and Paige will be back and be ready to show us in games that they can make 11 out of 12 three point baskets, as a recent Azzi video showed!