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Message: [QUOTE="Bear11, post: 2532414, member: 7934"] I believe that is from ESPN. I assume it is a result of analyzing past games and what tends to happen given each situation. However, it is not adjusted for team quality, as it shows both teams starting with an equal chance. If you look at the UCONN win expectancy chart from yesterday, it will show Tulsa having the advantage when they led briefly in the opening minutes, when obviously they never had even the slightest chance of winning that game. It is an interesting stat but needs some more tweaking to be really accurate. However, this does not diminish the epic collapse by Tennessee yesterday. [/QUOTE]