- Overall talent (DHam & Amida especially)
- Defense (we're going to be killer next year, last night not withstanding. I can't stress enough how well-drilled and sophisticated SMU are)
- Expected improvement curve (Amida, Kentan & TSam are all significantly improved in Year 2 under KO; I expect the same out of DHam & Purvis next year)
- Specialist depth (Omar's shooting; Phil's hedging vs. P'n'R-heavy teams; Enoch as an additional rim-protecting big)
- Chemistry (9 of 10 guys will be back)
- Kemba-in-'09-level contributions from Adams
The teams we've looked horrible against this year aren't the super-talented ones, like Duke & Texas. It's been the well-drilled, well-coached veteran teams like SMU and Stanford. Those teams are what we were last year, and while I don't believe Stanford can make the Final Four, I sure as * think SMU can get there. Neither's loaded with lottery picks, but both are stuffed with guys who know how to win college basketball games by punishing slow defensive rotations and drawing tons of fouls.
Replacing Boat won't be easy, and I'm sure there will be some ugly losses in December and January. But I'll be shocked if we're not consistently excellent defensively. It's easy to forget how young - not just in terms of age, but in terms of basketball experience - guys like Brimah, Facey and DHam are. They simply don't know how to execute yet because they don't have the number of high level reps that last year's team did.
So, next year they'll be better. Hell, I think next week they'll be better. I'm not sure if, by next month, they'll be good enough to win the AAC tournament. But I wouldn't be comfortable betting against them.