T-4 weeks Starters Vote | Page 3 | The Boneyard

T-4 weeks Starters Vote

everyone a 10

paige
kaitlyn
ice
ash
yanna

btw, what's the prize?
 
PacoSwede said:
everyone a 10


yanna

btw, what's the prize?
Expand ...

“Yanna” typically refers to Ayanna Patterson. (Tho it’s much clearer if she’s referred to as Patterson or Ayanna)

If you mean El- Alfy, her name is spelled Jana.
 
Paige 10
Janna 10
Kaitlin 10
Strong 10
Shade 10
Rest 0
 
I give Paige and Strong 10. No idea regarding remainder of team.
 
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I am impressed with the poster's here knowledge of probability and statistics. Let's just say that the strategy to win the contest, and the strategy to maximize the expected value of your points are two different things, and i can tell that many understand the difference!
 
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oldhusky said:
I am impressed with the poster's here knowledge of probability and statistics. Let's just say that the strategy to win the contest, and the strategy to maximize the expected value of your points are two different things, and i can tell that many understand the difference!
Expand ...
Some of us. . . Just don’t care. :rolleyes:

We simply know who we think will start the first official game. :)
 
ucbart said:
Paige-10
Ash-10

Chen-5
Ice-5
Jana-5
Sarah-5
KK-5
Katelyn-5
Expand ...
who is Katelyn?

Folks, as vote tabulator it's much easier for me if you use last names other than obvious ones (Paige and KK and Ice)
 
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Vowelguy said:
who is Katelyn?

Folks, as vote tabulator it's much easier for me if you use last names other than obvious ones (Paige and KK and Ice)
Expand ...
"Katelyn" is Kaitlyn Chen.
 
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oldhusky said:
I am impressed with the poster's here knowledge of probability and statistics. Let's just say that the strategy to win the contest, and the strategy to maximize the expected value of your points are two different things, and i can tell that many understand the difference!
Expand ...
You are probably giving some posters, way too much credit. :rolleyes:
 
So of those 44 who voted, did any pick: Bueckers, Shade, El Alfy, Arnold, and Chen as their starters? Assuming they are healthy, does anyone really believe that Geno would start Jana plus those four guards while leaving Brady and Strong both on the bench? Given the bigs on the team, we are not going to start any forwards?

I don’t believe that choosing the actual Starting 5 is necessarily the point of your exercise here; but if it were, it does not in my opinion produce a practical starting five, given the options available. Also, just my opinion, but Rank Choice Voting, in similar fashion when attempting to choose political candidates is a horrible idea for elections just the same.
 
Dugway said:
I don’t believe that choosing the actual Starting 5 is necessarily the point of your exercise here; but if it were, it does not in my opinion produce a practical starting five, given the options available.
Expand ...
I don’t agree. A practical starting five with three guards and two forwards fairly leaps out of the data. The highest confidence players are Paige Jana and Ash, and after them, people are divided between KK and Kaitlyn (presumably at PG), on the one hand, and Ice and Sarah (presumably at forward) on the other. This is the clear outline of a 5+2 lineup. Admittedly, confidence ratings for starters are not direct expressions of who the chief subs will be (the +2 in the 5+2), but the correlation seems likely. This is what the BY hive mind appears to think.

Also, it’s worth noting that the data give a slight edge to KK and Ice over Kaitlyn and Sarah, making the latter pair the first two off the bench. A less likely reading is that Geno will alternate these players game by game. I say less likely merely because past sentiment in the BY has been against churning the starting lineup absent an important reason. “We” seem to think that once Geno settles on a lineup, he’ll stick to it for awhile.

This suggests a quite resaonable starting five of
Paige​
Jana​
Ash​
KK​
Ice​
I say reasonable because “we” seem to have plumped for the players with the most experience from last season. This lineup also minimizes the role of untested freshmen, which is another common sentiment on the BY. They will surely get minutes at some point, but the hive mind appears to think they will not be as prominent as the returners from last season plus Paige.
 
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Dugway said:
I don’t believe that choosing the actual Starting 5 is necessarily the point of your exercise here;
Expand ...
No it is not. It is merely to list what you think will be the starting 5 might be and express your confidence around that. Folks are free to pick however they like.

Dugway said:
le. Also, just my opinion, but Rank Choice Voting, in similar fashion when attempting to choose political candidates is a horrible idea for elections just the same.
Expand ...
1) this is not a ranked choice vote per se. see item above.
2) And yet research has clearly shown that Ranked Choice is a superior way of voting and produces outcomes more in line with what voters actually want.
 
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