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Message: [QUOTE="ScuderiaDiU, post: 3886109, member: 11050"] I agree that no system is perfect but not for the reason you give. None of them would ever claim that they are perfectly predictive. We play the games for several reasons. First, actual results are statistical is nature. Teams evolve. Some days are simply better than others. Matchup issues introduces further uncertainty. And so on. What these systems do very well is rate a team's resume. The good ones do it in a very complicated way that goes way beyond simple statistics. It is far more complicated than just looking at what the best team is that they played and beat or the worst team they played and lost to and so on. So, while they may not be perfect, they are no more imperfect than the algorithm any armchair expert uses in their head. There are only two decent systems rating the women. Massey and Moore. I believe both have Baylor ahead of NC State and well ahead of Texas A&M. You can't just look at W/L. You also have to look at MOV. Losing to Arkansas isn't a massive black mark if it was a close loss, for example. The good systems look at the quality of the opponent and the MOV. Some also integrate in factors for W/L. [/QUOTE]