St. John's Scouting Report | The Boneyard

St. John's Scouting Report

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Flying early tomorrow morning, so onto the next one...

St. John’s (8-3)
#61 in KenPom

48th in Offensive efficiency
  • 2nd in offensive rebounding
  • 58th in offensive tempo
  • 60th in A/FGM (57.2%)
  • 89th w/ a 35.5 3P%, but just 33.9% of FGAs are from three (269th)
  • 203rd w/ a 49.3 2P%
  • 198th in turnover prevention
  • 352nd in Free Throw Rate

97th in Defensive efficiency
  • 29th in 3PA/FGA prevention (30.9%); 260th in opp. 3P% (35%)
  • 29th in block rate
  • 34th in opp. 2P% (44.6%)
  • 58th in overall turnover caused rate
  • 124th in A/FGM prevention (48.3%)
  • 248th in defensive rebounding rate
  • 262nd in FTA/FGA prevention
  • 286th in defensive tempo (18.0 seconds/possession)

Results from key games (first three games neutral)
  • L 73-89 v Michigan (KP 44)
  • L 81-88 v Dayton (neutral; KP 41)
  • W 91-82 v Utah (neutral; KP 34)
  • W 79-73 at West Virginia (KP 133)
  • L 80-86 v Boston College (at Barclays; KP 93)
  • W 81-66 v Xavier (KP 41)

PROJECTED STARTING LINEUP: 23-29 mpg

Daniss Jenkins 6’4 180 grad transfer (Iona)
  • 11.2p, 4.1r, 6.0a, 2.8 TO, 2.1 steals, 45.3 2P%, 27.3 3P%, ⅓ FGAs from 3, 1.0 FTA, 80 FT%

Jordan Dingle 6’3 195 grad transfer (Penn)
  • 11.3p, 1.7r, 1.5a, 1.9 TO, 1.1s, 50 2P%, 37 3P%, ½ FGAs from 3, 1.6 FTA, 62.5 FT%
  • 2nd lowest defensive rating on team

Glenn Taylor 6’6 205 junior (transfer from Oregon State)
  • 6.5p, 2.4r, 2.1a, 0.9 TO, 44 2P%, 45.8 3P%, ½ FGAs from 3, 1.7 FTAs, 58.8 FT%, 0.8s,
  • Lowest defensive rating on team

Chris Ledlum 6’6 225 grad transfer (Harvard)
  • 10.9p, 7.9r, 1.9a, 1.9 TO, 1.3 s, 0.8b, 42.7 2P%, 35.7 3P%, ¼ FGAs from 3, 2.0 FTA, 75 FT%

Joel Soriano 6’11 255 fifth-year returnee
  • 18.0p, 10.5r, 1.5a, 1.3 TO, 66.3 2P%, 7-9 from 3, 4.4 FTA, 75.0 FT%, 1.9b

MOST COMMONLY USED BENCH PIECES (Alleyne gets 15.7 mpg, all others between 8-11 mpg) Overall, the bench plays 30.8% of all minutes (189th in nation)

Nahiem Alleyne 6’4 200 grad transfer (from last year’s champs)
  • 6.9p, 48.1 2P%, 38.2 3P%, about ½ FGAs from 3.

Zuby Ejiofor 6’9 240 sophomore transfer from Kansas, #47 recruit of 2022
  • Per-40 #s: 15.1p, 13.7r, 4.6b, 40.6 2P%,
  • Best defensive rating on team

Simeon Wilcher 6’4 180 freshman, #34 recruit of 2023
  • 2.5p, 1.2r, 1.5a, 1.0 TO, 33.3 2P%, 33.3 3P%, ⅓ FGAs from 3
  • Third lowest defensive rating on the team

Brady Dunlap 6’7 190 freshman, Notre Dame decommit, punchable face
  • 2.3p, 2.0r, 2/3rd FGAs from 3, 23.1 3P%

Drissa Traore 6’8 215 sophomore
  • 2.9p, 1.5r, 63.6 2P%, 4-9 from 3

LESS COMMONLY USED BENCH PIECES (played in 40%-70% of games; mostly against mid-majors)

  • Sean Conway 6’4 200 grad transfer from VMI; good shooter, strong-bodied guard
  • Cruz Davis 6’3 170 sophomore; Sadiku Ibine Ayo 6’6 210 sophomore from Iona

KEY INJURY

RJ Luis 6’7 195 sophomore transfer from UMass. 14 points, 3 steals in only game this season.

Thirty-seven years later, Rick Pitino is back in the Big East and after St. John’s has spent most of the last two decades as an afterthought, the buzz is back in Queens.

Is there substance that matches the hype? Not quite yet. Non-conference losses to Michigan, Dayton and Boston College means that the Johnnies have just one top-100 win prior to this week’s matchup against Xavier and UConn.

However, with twelve new players, there’s room for St. John’s to improve as the season moves on.

According to his interview with the Blue Ribbon Report, Pitino spoke of the Anderson-era Johnnies as a team that lacked culture, so on the portal they looked for players that fit three criteria: shooting, athleticism and work ethic.

Athleticism and work ethic drives Pitino’s defense that keeps opponents guessing: a full-court press; switching between man and zone and sturdy rim protection as a final layer of defense to allow perimeter defenders to play aggressively and force turnovers.

Continuing his excellent play from last season, Joel Soriano was the Big East’s only player who averaged a double-double. A two-way threat, Soriano has now added the three-point shot to his arsenal. His backup, Zuby Ejiofor, is a tough, physical rim-runner who is an excellent rebounder, but the team’s offense takes a major hit whenever he is on the floor in place of Soriano.

St. John’s starting backcourt: Daniss Jenkins, Jordan Dingle and Glenn Taylor, were each their previous team’s best scorer off the bounce, as was also injured wing RJ Luis, so the fact that St. John’s has one of the lowest free throw rates in the nation is a major surprise.

That being said, Jenkins is reprising the point guard role that broke out his career at Iona. Playing pick-and-roll sparingly at his previous spots, Pitino has modeled Jenkins into his ideal pick-and-roll point guard in the way he can control the tempo, dish and score, when needed.

Last season, Jordan Dingle was the second leading scorer in the nation, so his modest scoring so far makes it seem like he’s a volcano waiting to erupt. He’s a three-level shot maker with the ability to take over the game, but he’s not a strong defender, which caps his ceiling playing for Pitino.

An incredible athlete who was one of the best slashers in the Pac-12, Glenn Taylor has embraced his role as St. John’s glue guy where he’s transitioned into a low-usage, high efficiency wing. He’s strong on the ball and is a good positional distributor, but is still learning Pitino’s defense. He’s playing a lot now, but I can see his minutes decreasing once Luis returns.

St. John’s most trusted bench piece is, not surprisingly, Nahiem Alleyne. His role in Queens doesn’t look much different than what we saw later in the season in Storrs: a high-efficiency, versatile big guard who defends well and can hit a big perimeter shot.

Freshmen Wilcher (UNC decommit) and Dunlap (Notre Dame decommit) are backups, but their long-term potential is clear. Wilcher is still getting used to the college game, but the big point guard’s athleticism, toughness and skill flashes. For a skinnier wing, Dunlap is a surprisingly tough and scrappy defender who isn’t afraid to get his nose dirty, however, his calling card is scoring. I expect him to be a very good Big East player soon.

Starting at power forward, Chris Ledlum brings a mix of BBIQ, skill and strength. I don’t understand how he’s perpetually listed at 6’6 225 – he’s bigger than that. He’s slow on the ball, but a powerful cutter off-ball and he can score anywhere on the court. Like Dingle, Ledlum is adjusting from being an alpha-Ivy Leaguer to a secondary scorer, but Ledlum is also a great rebounder and has basically no holes in his game.

Backup power forward Drissa Traore is the other Johnnie who Pitino wanted to keep around from the Anderson era and it makes sense why: he’s a lunch-pail, hard-nosed, high-motor athlete who is a defensive specialist who provides enough spacing to keep defenses honest.

Looking at their box scores against top-talent, Pitino will play 10, sometimes 11 players, but the core of their playing time comes from their starting five and Alleyne. Outside of Alleyne, their backups are true backups, so considering that St. John’s is playing its best opponent of the season, I expect tighter rotations.

Good test against another tough, physical team.
 
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Good news, we’re home. Gotta make a bunch if 3’s and Karaban needs to be aggressive to the hole. We’ve seen he can drive and pull up, Taking it to the hole the way SH did and getting calls at home could work but I’m not going to sugarcoat it, Adama ain’t walking through that door.
 
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Thirty-seven years later, Rick Pitino is back in the Big East and after St. John’s has spent most of the last two decades as an afterthought, the buzz is back in Queens.

Is there substance that matches the hype? Not quite yet. Non-conference losses to Michigan, Dayton and Boston College means that the Johnnies have just one top-100 win prior to this week’s matchup against Xavier and UConn.

However, with twelve new players, there’s room for St. John’s to improve as the season moves on.

Pitino was the Louisville coach in the big east from 2005 to 2013?
 

huskyharry

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Good news, we’re home. Gotta make a bunch if 3’s and Karaban needs to be aggressive to the hole. We’ve seen he can drive and pull up, Taking it to the hole the way SH did and getting calls at home could work but I’m not going to sugarcoat it, Adama ain’t walking through that door.
Hopefully, we will get the calls on drives at home...remains to be seen
 

FfldCntyFan

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Thanks again, great summary. But how this game goes will depend largely on whether Clingan can play. Soriano will be a huge problem if not.
This. We will need 20-25 minutes of DC being at least close to being what he can be or Soriano will have a feast.
 

Marat

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This. We will need 20-25 minutes of DC being at least close to being what he can be or Soriano will have a feast.
I don't see DC being available on Sat. Soriano may feast but UConn guards need to be hitting their shots. Being at home Sat night on national TV will give the team a boost. It's a game they need to win.
 
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Naheim maybe the X factor, especially if he's allowed to run their practices.
 

XLCenterFan

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Crowds gonna have to get behind them. We need to be a factor tomorrow.
 

UConnSwag11

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Soriano is going to be a problem against Johnson. I don’t think Clingan plays

. After what Kansas and Seton Hall did, I’m sure Pitino is going to have his team pressure us at half and get right up into the players. We haven’t handled it well at all
 

UConnSwag11

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I don't see DC being available on Sat. Soriano may feast but UConn guards need to be hitting their shots. Being at home Sat night on national TV will give the team a boost. It's a game they need to win.

We don’t have an inside game so it has to come down to Spencer and Newton. They need to handle the intense ball pressure better than they have. They haven’t done well
 
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I would be shocked if Donovan plays. Prob best that he doesn’t considering after Saturday they are off until 1/2 DePaul and Butler on 1/5.
100%. As much as the thought of losing to Rick Pitino and St. John's on our home court bugs me, the thinking with Clingan has to be for the long term on not this game.

I think UConn can still beat St. John's without Clingan, but obviously they are much better with him, especially considering he was getting his fitness level back. Singare will get minutes and Johnson has to prevent himself from committing fouls due to being too excited.
 
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We don’t have an inside game so it has to come down to Spencer and Newton. They need to handle the intense ball pressure better than they have. They haven’t done well
They need to break pressure to score, not just to set up the half court offense. Scoring against the pressure means 3s, layups, and dunks, not mid range 2s which is what the full court pressing team invites.
 
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I'd like to think that we should win even without Clingan. Samson has been inconsistent-at-best defensively this year but he did do pretty well against Dickinson against Kansas. So there's some capability/potential to play post defense. If Karaban finds himself on Soriano then that's a free 2 every time

Frankly though we don't win this game through defense. Let's make it a shootout. Play in the 80s and we probably win. Play in the 60s and we probably lose
 

SwingDog

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Having come off an embarrassing loss and three days of rest (for Clingan, mostly), practice, and prep, the Huskies should be fully dialed in and ready to give a 40 minute performance at the XL Center characterized by tenacious defense. The offense will take care of itself. Even if Soriano gets his 18/10 or so, if UConn is locked in on defense, they can absolutely win this game convincingly. I do not expect them to come out flat. Hurley will have them ready.
 
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