Some stats

[toadfoot]

NCAA tournament records by conference

ACC

Duke 3-0 2
Florida St. 1-1 8
Maryland 2-1 4
North Carolina 1-1 3
Miami 0-1 8
-------------------------

7-4 5.0

Big East
UConn 3-0 1
Notre Dame 3-0 1
Louisville 3-0 5
Syracuse 0-1 7
South Florida 1-1 10
DePaul 0-1 10
St John's 0-1 10
Villanova 0-1 9
--------------------------
10-5 6.9

Big 12

Baylor 2-1 1
Iowa St 1-1 5
Kansas 2-1 12
Oklahoma 2-1 6
Oklahoma St 1-1 7
Texas Tech 0-1 7
West Virginia 0-1 11
--------------------------
8-7 6.4

SEC

Tennessee 3-0 2
Georgia 3-0 4
Kentucky 3-0 2
LSU 2-1 6
South Carolina 1-1 4
Texas A&M 1-1 3
Vanderbilt 1-1 8
-------------------------
14-4 4.1

Big Ten

Iowa 1-1 9
Michigan 0-1 8
Michigan St 1-1 5
Nebraska 2-1 6
Penn St 1-1 3
Purdue 1-1 4
-------------------------
6-6 5.8

Pac 12

Stanford 2-1 1
UCLA 1-1 3
Cal 3-0 2
Colorado 0-1 5
-------------------------
6-3 2.75







Conference observations:
1. ACC, Big Ten and Pac-12 were "over-seeded".
2. Big East was "under-seeded".
Individual team observations with rpiratings.com and Sagarin ratings in parentheses.
North Carolina (15,19) was no better than a 4 seed and more likely a 5, particularly given their cupcake OOC schedule.
Miami (51, 43) should have been a 10 or 11.
Colorado (25, 36) should have been a 6 or 7.
UCLA (11, 24) should have been a 4 or 5.
Michigan (35, 41) was an 8, Colorado (25, 36) was a 5, but Villanova (28, 40) was a 10???
Texas Tech (48, 29) was a 7, St John's (39, 39) was a 10???
LSU (34, 32) gets a 6 and Syracuse (33, 20) was a 7???
Not suggesting that some of the Big East teams necessarily deserved better seeding, but that the seeding in hindsight doesn't appear to be consistent.
Lastly:
UConn's shellacking of Stanford was not a one timer. If they played 10 times UConn would win consistently by 25-30. Except for Chiney they're not even ordinary.

 

[Phil]

Check out the
Actual Versus expected thread where I make a similar comparison.

 

[toadfoot]

Thanks Phil. Don't know why I can't get this to format for better readability.