nelsonmuntz
Point Center
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If the ACC play is for Texas and Notre Dame for all sports but football, this is a head scratcher. If it is to lock up Pitt and Syracuse and their own membership before the dominoes start tipping, it was brilliant if potentially a little tricky legally.
My guess is the ACC takes Pitt and Syracuse and tells ND and Texas all or nothing. They stall, trying to figure out a solution. ND has one, Texas doesn't. I think at the end of the day, Texas follows the Big 12 South west. ND has about a 1 in 3 shot of staying independent, joining the Catholics for their other sports. I think that Pitt and Syracuse were an inducement to get ND, and it might work, although the Big 10 seems more likely to win that fight if ND decides to go that direction.
The Big 10 will push hard for ND. No matter what happens, I think the Big 10's hand is forced on expansion, or at least I hope it is. If the Big 10 starts adding markets, it will come after Rutgers, UConn, Missouri and maybe Kansas if ND doesn't join. I would prefer the ACC, but any port in a storm at this point. The ACC knows the Big 10 could move to UConn and Rutgers, and so probably won't give ND much time to make a decision.
The SEC's options shrink pretty quickly. Oklahoma, Oklahoma State and Texas Tech all want to go west. Missouri will take anyone that will have them, but the Big 10 will win that fight if it comes to that. Texas is trying to find someone to let the LHN live but there is no one out there after the Big 12, which is dissolving. The SEC will definitely add WVU. Louisville and USF are on the list, although a lot of programs will be resistant to USF. Kansas could go to the SEC.
The downside case is if anyone stops at 12 or 14. Then we have a real problem.
My guess is the ACC takes Pitt and Syracuse and tells ND and Texas all or nothing. They stall, trying to figure out a solution. ND has one, Texas doesn't. I think at the end of the day, Texas follows the Big 12 South west. ND has about a 1 in 3 shot of staying independent, joining the Catholics for their other sports. I think that Pitt and Syracuse were an inducement to get ND, and it might work, although the Big 10 seems more likely to win that fight if ND decides to go that direction.
The Big 10 will push hard for ND. No matter what happens, I think the Big 10's hand is forced on expansion, or at least I hope it is. If the Big 10 starts adding markets, it will come after Rutgers, UConn, Missouri and maybe Kansas if ND doesn't join. I would prefer the ACC, but any port in a storm at this point. The ACC knows the Big 10 could move to UConn and Rutgers, and so probably won't give ND much time to make a decision.
The SEC's options shrink pretty quickly. Oklahoma, Oklahoma State and Texas Tech all want to go west. Missouri will take anyone that will have them, but the Big 10 will win that fight if it comes to that. Texas is trying to find someone to let the LHN live but there is no one out there after the Big 12, which is dissolving. The SEC will definitely add WVU. Louisville and USF are on the list, although a lot of programs will be resistant to USF. Kansas could go to the SEC.
The downside case is if anyone stops at 12 or 14. Then we have a real problem.