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Sleeper Teams that will surprise

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Which team can be this year's St. Peter's or FAU? Maybe even a lesser team from a power 6?
 
No huge upsets for me, but I know I'm getting suckered in by Michigan State, and I have New Mexico to S16
 
I don’t think we’ll see a big Cinderella run this year. The separation of the teams at the top feels higher this year than in previous years. I could see Yale potentially making a run to the second weekend. Samford could take down a hobbled Kansas. Maybe Charleston wins a shootout against Bama.
 
61cygni said:
No huge upsets for me, but I know I'm getting suckered in by Michigan State, and I have New Mexico to S16
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UNM is an interesting case because of the stylistic challenges they bring into these games. New Mexico has those 3 dynamite guards who are lightning quick. Dent may be actually as talented as House, which is a seemingly ludicrous statement to make. They push the pace and take teams out of their comfort level. The only problem with UNM is if their two bigs get in foul trouble. There isn't much there beyond Toppin and Joseph.
 
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Dauster has GCU beating SMC on the back of Foster. He thinks Foster could win them a game or two.

 
Probably McNeese. 30-3 is no joke, and Will Wade is a good coach. This is not a great Gonzaga team like in years past and if they win that game I can see them beating a banged up Kansas to get to the S16.
 
Due to all the upsets of top seeds in the low major conference tournaments the 13-16 seeds are quite weak this year. The 1s and 4s are quite strong as well.

I don't anticipate a lot of huge crazy seed upsets compared to the last few years. Most upsets will probably come from the 9-12 range. 11s over 6s seem particularly good. I might be buying the NC state train. Winning 5 in 5 has in the past led to good NCAA tourny results.
 
BleedHuskyBlu said:
Mississippi state to beat UNC

Vermont over Dook

Texas vs Tennessee is going to be block buster
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This is not as talented a Vermont team as they normally send. Well coached and work hard, but I don’t think they have the physical talent to be competitive against any winning P-6 team.

Yale is a better choice if you’re looking for that level upset.
 
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auror said:
Due to all the upsets of top seeds in the low major conference tournaments the 13-16 seeds are quite weak this year. The 1s and 4s are quite strong as well.

I don't anticipate a lot of huge crazy seed upsets compared to the last few years. Most upsets will probably come from the 9-12 range. 11s over 6s seem particularly good. I might be buying the NC state train. Winning 5 in 5 has in the past led to good NCAA tourny results.
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This.

The flip side of bubble teams being left out is that the 11-13 lines are much, much weaker than usual (except for New Mexico, who should have been a 9 and got screwed like the rest of the MWC). The 14-16 lines are about the same, actually.

I expect very few first round upsets but potentially a number of second round upsets. After the first 3 teams (us, Houston, Purdue) and the next 4 (UNC, Tennessee, Arizona, ISU), there's actually not a lot of separation between the #3 seeds and the #7 seeds.

I wouldn't be surprised to see a lot of brackets with Sweet 16s like 1-4-6-7.
 
Vermont over Duke.

BYU to the S16

Boise/Colorado over Florida

New Mexico over Clemson
 
Oh, I will say this -- Clemson is going nowhere. They got an absolute gift as a 6. Short them, whoever their opponent is.
 
McNeese can play. They could get to the FF. Seems mid majors getting to the FF is no longer uncommon.
 
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I think this is going to be a year where the bad P5 teams that didn't deserve to get in win a game or 2. Michigan State immediately comes to mind as a Sweet 16 attendee despite having an NIT-bubble resume
 
Tenspro2002 said:
Oh, I will say this -- Clemson is going nowhere. They got an absolute gift as a 6. Short them, whoever their opponent is.
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Vegas has them as an underdog to an 11 seed. Thats all you need to know.
 
I keep seeing Grand Canyon...which is making me want to go St Mary's. It's almost the same roster as that team LY - which played us tough. Mahaney, Saxen, Marciuliones, Ducas. If they slow it down and grind, they're tough.
 
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In general I think all the mountain west teams outside of SDSU are very underseeded. Wouldn’t be surprised to see any one of those teams make a run to the elite 8.
 
#12 JMU is on a 13 game winning streak. If they can take down Wiscy then they can send dook home, or have to face UVM. Speaking of which, UVM!
 
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