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Message: [QUOTE="auror, post: 4556420, member: 1329"] Those results are an average of simulations from Torvik. Nothing happens in a vacuum. All the 2 seeds already have either better metrics than that (UCLA/Purdue) or more Q1 wins than 8 (Texas, Baylor, Arizona). Also none of them have a Q3+ loss. And they are going to play more games, too. We may have a shot at a 2. But maybe not. If Texas plays Baylor in the B12 tournament title, good chance we don't have a shot at it even with winning the tourny. Every committee is different. Some actually value winning conference tournaments, some literally don't even move the board at all after the results. [/QUOTE]