If I counted correctly there are 15 more very winnable games
Buffalo
Maine
Iona
St. Peters
New Hampshire
NJIT
@ USF
Tulane
Tulsa
Temple
@ Tulsa
USF
UCF
ECU
@Tulane
16 wins if we win all of these and none else.
Games with a shot at winning
Florida
Indiana
Wichita State
Cincinnati
@SMU
Memphis
@Temple
Houston
If we win half of these and the rest of the “easy” games we’d have 20 wins.
Very hard games
Xavier (maybe)
@Cincinnati
@Villinova
@Houston
@Memphis
I see it very likely that this team is able to win 20 games. The St. Joes breakdown will not define our whole season. We’ve got an important game on Sunday and the team should be fired up in a winnable scenario. A win gives us momentum into a winnable Buffalo game and then a tough Xavier game. Will the momentum be enough?
After the tourney we will have 2 games that we should win (but Iona @ Gampel will give me PTSD of St. Joes). But none the less 2 wins should bring us into MSG rolling for our game against Indiana. A tough team albeit but the crowd should be in our favor and our team should be fired up to pick up another win.
After the MSG game a win against a good Indian team should be the confidence this team needs to close out December against two bad teams and a decent UNH.
3 wins to close out December is what this team needs to head to Cincinnati where we came close to winning last year year. Will be be in a better state mentally prior to that matchup than we were last year and will that be the deciding factor.
Moving on through conference play we play 2 lower half teams before a home matchup with Wichita State. I expect fans to come out in big numbers and roll the team to a win and head to Philadelphia with some momentum to face mighty Villanova.
Following Villanova the team will head out to Houston and the Villanova game will likely impact the Houston game strongly, is the team rolling are they down.
We close out January with Tulsa and Temple at home and should be happy to snag 2 wins because these teams always seem to give us fits.
February begins with @Memphis and then @Tulsa and these games worry me because this team could easily lose both these games and destroy their confidence right before a home game with Cincinnati.
Following Cincinnati the team travels to SMU and then will come back home to face the Tigers in a game where the crowd will be a factor in the game. A win would roll this team through February closing out the month with @ Temple, USF, UCF, and @ ECU.
@ECU will be a big game for Gilbert. Family of his always shows up in big numbers and might just rally him to lead the team through March.
In March senior day will be a great matchup with Houston before the team heads to New Orleans(Tulane) for the final game before the conference tournament.
Depending on how conferences play plays out I fully expect a top 5 seed which would warrant at least 1 win but this team likely needs to reach the semifinals as well as a 20+ win season to be considered for the NCAA tournament.