Score prediction: UConn at Xavier

[Kenny11]

Uconn 77, Xavier 76
Jackson hits a three at the buzzer and turns to the Xavier bench and crowd and gives the D Generation X suck it gesture

 

[Mr. Hand]

We're doomed.

XU 79
UC 77

 

[aburks41]

This is the first game this year I do not feel confident in at all. NYE games have been a disaster for us in the past.

X 76
UConn 72

Hope I am wrong. This is the only game this season that I am predicting we will lose, and 90% of that is because of the NYE curse

 

[Rico444]

Adama doesn't have back to back bad games. He's the mvp and I say we get 30 and 15 combined from him and Clingan.

82-76

 

[YearoftheHusky]

That’s definitely ok. But I think you’re confusing what a realist is

Is it not someone who keeps things real, and doesn’t cater to popular belief? I feel like that’s exactly what I’m doing.

 

[Scrappy3]

The key to victory is always the same. Keep the other team under 70.

UConn 82 Xavier 65

 

[MTBingNinja]

78 UConn
71 Xavier

 

[HeGotGame]

Not only are we favored we were -6.5 at one point. Think it’s down to about 4 now though.

The line opened at -2.5 and has stayed at -2.5

 

[auror]

Assuming Johnson doesn't play....

They take advantage of some of our sloppy play on the road and hit some threes in transition. The crowd goes crazy. They spread us out and make it tough for us to play drop coverage with Clingan when Nunge pops. Jackson gets into foul trouble. Hawkins goes 2/9 from 3.

We lose 77-73.

Tough road loss to a good team.

 

[EBonz30]

X is a high paced team, with about the 20th highest pace in the country. Teams that play at a higher pace than Xavier from the data I've seen that UConn has played are:

Alabama (1) 82-67
Buffalo (6) 84-64
LIU (12) 114-61

In addition UConn has played three other teams with a higher pace than UConn:

Georgetown (86) 84-73
Florida (98) 75-54
Stonehill (102) 85-54

Xavier really does try for quick hitting plays and goes for a lot of transition, and secondary breaks. They pass the ball a lot, like UConn, but don't have near the off-ball action UConn has. Assists seem a lot more predicated on fast breaks, PNRs/PNPs, and drive and kicks/dump offs

The two games I have seen them play they gave up a lot of open shots. Which shows in their 3PT% defense (37.4%, 326th worst in the country), they make up for that by shooting an absurd 40.8% (3rd in the country) from three. Not to mention 47% from two, again bested by their 55%.

Where Nova was a contest of UConn's three point defense in terms of attempts, this seems like it might be more focused on Xaviers three point shooting percentage vs UConn's three point shooting percentage defense (26.5%). Xavier doesn't really take a lot of threes, they just take good ones and make them.

Control Boum & UConn will win this game- I know it sounds simple- but I do really think as long as they keep him in check UConn will be 15-0.

 

[navery12]

Huskies 86
Muskies 77

 

[jibsey]

Xavier would move to #16 or under with a win. Talking motivation for them.

 

[Travelman6]

Winning team wins by 5.

I say 73-68

It will be a tough game.

 

[Jay-Bone]

Hate to be that guy but I’m a realist.

76-67 X

Hope I’m wrong.

Realist? Or pessimist? Odds say the latter.

 

[jayteeman]

UC 84
X 79
Joey's back

 

[RayRay]

UConn 82 - X 65. Our d holds up and Xavier’s d can’t contain us.

I’m modifying my prediction. It hit me like a lightning bolt this morning in the shower.

85-74 good guys. Also this way the over covers!

 

[uconngb]

The key to victory is always the same. Keep the other team under 70.

UConn 82 Xavier 65

Interesting that this exact score has been predicted about 4-5 times hete

 

[CTBasketball]

I think we pull this out, but man the Blue Blob is such a hilarious mascot. I mean just look at this little guy!

 

[Marat]

Winning team wins by 5.

I say 73-68

It will be a tough game.

I expect to be a fun game. Nova was a tough slog game.

 

[jojipoji]

let me just say even if Uconn loses this game I don't think it's bad, sometimes the pressure of undefeated gets to a team. That being said I think Xavier wins a narrow game 72-69. I think Sean Miller and the crowd at home on a short rest after Wed playing a tough Nova game will be tough.

Xavier played St. John’s wed also

 

[RayRay]

Xavier played St. John’s wed also

I was thinking same thing, what a potential big break for us. Same travel from the east coast and same rest.

 

[UKemba15]

I’m modifying my prediction. It hit me like a lightning bolt this morning in the shower.

85-74 good guys. Also this way the over covers!

RayRay, this is your family…that exposed wire in your shower finally made contact…you’re in a coma, please come back to us..

 

[YearoftheHusky]

Just out of curiosity if UConn is favored how does predicting a nine point loss make you a realist?

Was I wrong? I hate that I was right.

 

[KingAG]

Was I wrong?

It still didn’t make you a realist. You have no idea what realist means

 

[navery12]

Was I wrong? I hate that I was right.

Yes, we lost by 10 not 9

 

[YearoftheHusky]

It still didn’t make you a realist. You have no idea what realist means

Perhaps. I’ll just stick with I was keeping it real which is what I meant all along. But go ahead and pick your nits.

 

[YearoftheHusky]

Yes, we lost by 10 not 9

Good one.

 

[KingAG]

We were going to win this game on defense. I said Xavier would have to score mid 80s to win and they did. Credit to them. Go cream PC now

 

[KingAG]

Perhaps. I’ll just stick with I was keeping it real which is what I meant all along. But go ahead and pick your nits.

You keep bringing it up lol. You prediction was ultimately correct in us losing though

 

[tcf15]

Petition to start these threads only on game day #justsayin