well then, we'll just have to agree to disagree about Ollie
there's going to be some risk involved with any of the other candidates some people love, like can they recruit at a much higher level
furthermore, neither Smart not Stevens had head coaching experience before taking their current jobs. Doesn't anyone see the irony in that?
one person pointed to Buzz Williams as a great example of hiring a coach with experience. So going 14-17 at New Orleans proved he was ready for Marq
I think all three men are proof why Ollie's head coaching experience is not an issue.
I only highlighted one sentence, although I suppose I could have done every line. However the final sentence is the important one. His lack of head coaching experience is exactly the issue. Can he recruit? Clearly comments from current players signed under his time and comments from current recruits indicate he is important in the recruiting process, has good respect with recruits and is beneficial in the recruiting process.
Can he coach? No idea. None whatsoever. Can he headcoach (I just invented a new verb)? Again, no clue.
First of all, there is less than one chance in 10,000 that any coach we can get will be as good as JC. JC is arguably one of the top 5 coaches of all time. Certainly top 10 adjusted for games played, but when you readjust for the number of good teams you have to beat in today's game, I think top 5 is a pretty easy argument. To expect the next coach to be a top 5 coach all time is ludicrous - even top 10. Another way to look at it, no other coach has won 3 NCs in the last 15 years other than JC. Coach K hasn't. Roy Williams hasn't. Nobody but JC has 3 in the last 15 years. If you stretch it to 20 years, you can add Coach K. Expecting any coach to be even close to JC is foolish. Expect some sort of letdown. One or two in the next 15 years would be more than one could expect.
Now to the meat of the discussion. Saying that Smart or Stevens had no head coaching experience before they are what they are now is silly. There are 200, 300, how many coaches in the same time frame who didn't have head coaching experience who then got head coaching experience who you have never heard of.
The fact is they got head coaching experience and proved they could win. That's way more important than a guy who hasn't had the experience and we hope can win. Saying they didn't have head coaching experience as an argument that Ollie should get a shot is missing the point of experience. There are 300+ guys who got head coaching experience that we do not want. There are two or so that have proven they can coach who make good choices.
Extrapolating that Smart and Stevens didn't have head coaching experience before they had success as a reason that Ollie will have success is ridiculous. The odds are against him. The fact that they have had success is why they are good candidates. It's not ironic that they didn't have head coaching experience before success and Ollie doesn't have head coaching experience, it's just a common denominator. It doesn't mean Ollie will.
One more way to look at it - there are maybe 10 to 15 coaches that anyone would take to lead their program as a lock - maybe not even that many (JC, K, JB, Izzo, etc.). The problem is most of those 15 or so aren't going anywhere. So there is a small handful of successful coaches that you can actually choose from.
Bottom line, if Smart wants to come here, you take him over Ollie. One is proven, one might be the next top 5 coach but he's more likely to be the next bust. You just have to play the odds here.
That said, if Ollie is the next coach, I hope he stays for 25+ years and gets 5 national championships and goes down as one of the top 5 ever....