Realistically, can Uconn win it all? | Page 3 | The Boneyard

Realistically, can Uconn win it all?

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very strange way to look at things, you watched games like Iowa St, Florida, MSU, and UK in the last tourney and thought there was alot of luck on their side? They basically led Iowa St and UK wire to wire, and once they flipped the Florida and MSU games they dominated them, especially the Florida game.

Yeah, I thought there was more luck involved in the 2011 run than 2014. Not only did UConn outplay 'Nova, Iowa State, MSU, Florida, and Kentucky but I also came away from all those games thinking UConn was the better team and would win a series. A lot of credit has to go to Ollie for how he adjusted mid-game...I think three of those teams had us down double digits at one point or close two it and then it was like a switch flipped as you say.

SDSU, Arizona and Kentucky all seemed like toss-up games to me...not to mention Pitt, Syracuse and Louisville in the Big East tournament that each basically came down to one play.
 
We had a horse shoe stuck up our a**, what are you talking about? You listed 8 games where we had a horse shoe, this is beyond dumb. I thought Fogg was going to hit that three at the end of the Zona game and Brimah's three point play against St. Joe's saved the day but you're out of your mind saying we had a horse shoe in all those games. Just a really strange post all around.

I thought we featured the best guards (and best player) in the country in both of those tourneys. Every team needs some breaks, but the aforementioned is largely why we won. Not horseshoes.
 
There are no sure things. That's why it's called gambling. That's also why it's fun.

Championship futures are notoriously terrible bets, especially the non-favorites. Point spreads are created to elicit action on both sides, which makes for a fair line. For championship futures, though, there is no other side. You can't bet against a team, so the line is not designed to be fair. They're all overcosted relative to the actual chances of the team to win, because Vegas knows fans of teams will still make futures bids "Because this is our year!" Favorites are a little more fair because Vegas wants to spread out the betting so they don't get hammered when one team they slipped up on wins.
 
Championship futures are notoriously terrible bets, especially the non-favorites. Point spreads are created to elicit action on both sides, which makes for a fair line. For championship futures, though, there is no other side. You can't bet against a team, so the line is not designed to be fair. They're all overcosted relative to the actual chances of the team to win, because Vegas knows fans of teams will still make futures bids "Because this is our year!" Favorites are a little more fair because Vegas wants to spread out the betting so they don't get hammered when one team they slipped up on wins.

You only need to hit1 to garner a return on your investment 100x's the capital invested. As the previous poster articulated that is the fun of it. UConn has turned out to be the exception to the norm as it relates to futures odds. That is why the subject heading post has merit.
 
I am thinking of placing a bet in vegas, 2000 to win 100,000 if these odds are correct at 5000. I love that they added Gibbs to go along with Purvis and Hamilton, Brimah is a great shot blocker to have. You gotta hope Nolan the senior plays his best year. Any help would be appreciated!


_uck yeah!!!!!!!!!! I like to think "when" we win not "if"
 
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