Reply to thread

Message: [QUOTE="BigBird, post: 2637788, member: 4247"] Same? I don’t think so. I have run a good many computer “coin flip” simulations, and the results are seldom the same. While the percentages reliably approach 50-50 after a thousand flips, the raw numbers don’t repeat. They aren’t equal as to heads and tails within a given trial, and they aren’t equal from one trial to the next. The original example specifies a nickel, as it has a smooth edge. It CAN be made to stand on edge, and thus for every flip, we have three possibilities, not just two. But common sense should instruct the the flipped nickel will ALMOST always be a head or a tail. The point here is contained in the word “almost.” So, how many times in 100 would UConn defeat Quinnipiac? When we say “100,” we erroneously disallow a possible upset of all times. Ask the fans of the Virginia Cavaliers about that bit. [/QUOTE]