Purdue loses to Wisconsin

[bendm]

Purdue is still #1 in WAB even after the loss.

The committee may have already locked in the 1 seeds as well before today's action. They've been known to do that.

But if the committee goes away from them, Houston has more Q1 wins than us and won a better league, so we're unlikely to climb over them. Either way, if us or Houston gets #1 overall, we're extremely likely to get Iowa State as our #2. The 2s are pretty much locked in with Tennessee, Arizona, Iowa St, and Marquette. Marquette can't be in our region, Arizona will go West, Tennessee will go South if they're 6th or Midwest if they're 5th and Houston is #1 overall.

So unless Iowa St passes Tennessee, they're our #2.

how much does geography factor in for the 2 seeds b/c the four projected 2's all have a clear preference. i'm assuming we're #1 overall:

east- uconn / tenn
midwest- purdue / marquette
south- houston / isu
west- unc / zona

but these matchups disadvantage the 1 seeds. isu cant be in the south w/ houston. tenn is not the weakest 2 seed so they shouldnt be paired with us, and it would disadvantage the 1 seed in the west relative to zona. so it should be:

east- uconn / zona
midwest- purdue / marq
south- houston / tenn
west- unc / isu

zona is just getting an outsize advantage if they get to go west compared to the other 2s

 

[tzznandrew]

Purdue is still #1 in WAB even after the loss.

The committee may have already locked in the 1 seeds as well before today's action. They've been known to do that.

But if the committee goes away from them, Houston has more Q1 wins than us and won a better league, so we're unlikely to climb over them. Either way, if us or Houston gets #1 overall, we're extremely likely to get Iowa State as our #2. The 2s are pretty much locked in with Tennessee, Arizona, Iowa St, and Marquette. Marquette can't be in our region, Arizona will go West, Tennessee will go South if they're 6th or Midwest if they're 5th and Houston is #1 overall.

So unless Iowa St passes Tennessee, they're our #2.

We've passed Purdue in WAB (11.3 to 11).

Houston will continue to have more Q1 wins than us, but just got absolutely mauled and lost their advanced metrics advantage over us.

After that showing, Iowa State may pass Tennessee. Better advanced metrics, more Q1 wins, a tournament title. They are unlikely (I'd think) to jump UNC.

So if they are the Top 2 seed, they go midwest, Tennessee to South, Marquette to West, and Arizona East?