Prognosticator's Predictions Game 10 vs Louisville @XL | The Boneyard

Prognosticator's Predictions Game 10 vs Louisville @XL

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MSGRET

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The Huskies are playing the Cardinals at the XL both teams are ranked, UConn 17th in the AP and 18th in the Coaches Polls, while Louisville is the reverse, 18th AP/17th Coaches. It would look like this should be a nail biter game, but I don't think it will be after looking at who Louisville has played. According to Massey they have only played three teams in the Top 75, losing to #33 Alabama on a neutral court and winning against #25 Gonzaga on a neutral court and at #41 Mississippi who was ranked #19 by the AP at the time. With including the three losses that UConn has endured UConn has played the following Massey ranked teams. Losses are against #5 NC State, #3 UCLA and #2 Texas. Their wins are against #18 Maryland, #45 North Carolina, #46 Minnesota and #51 Kansas. NC State and Texas were road games and UCLA was on a neutral court. Their wins were Dayton, Maryland and Ball State on home court. Minnesota an away game with Kansas and North Carolina on neutral courts. UConn is currently Massey rated at #8, with an SoS of #1, while Louisville is #15 with an SoS of #35. UConn is averaging 77.4 points a game while allowing 59.2 points. Lousiville is averaging 78.9 points a game while allowing 58 points a game which is kind of misleading because if you subtract their win against #297 Bellarmine their average is 75.3 on offense and 60.7 on defense. Almost all of the stats are within both offense and defense are within 2 of each other except for free throw percentage Louisville has 77.9% vs UConn's 71.9% and 3pt shooting percentage UConn has 35.8% vs Louisville's 30.7%

  • All predictions and any changes must be submitted by 11:45 A.M. Eastern, any submitted after the cut-off will not be accepted.
  • The winner must be named, either UConn/Huskies or Louisville/Cardinals. No predictions like "85-55 the good guys", will be accepted if there isn't a winner stated.
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  • I see a UConn having very few problems with the Cardinals, the Huskies will prevail. UConn 78 - Louisville 65.

Attached is a copy of the Prognosticator's Predictions Rule and Scoring System criteria, please read it so that you are familiar with the game rules. Good Luck to all you Prognosticator's out there and have some fun.
 

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oldude

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Once again UConn will go small against a big Louisville lineup at the XL Center on Saturday. Once again UConn’s harassing defense and a hefty dose of Paige Bueckers will pull this one out.

UConn 78 - Louisville 71
 
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UConn has had a problem bringing consistent effort from quarter to quarter. These lapses will yield a lower than expected score.

UConn 72 Louisville 65 (MOV 7)
 
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We should be well-rested, which I hope will translate to fiercer and more consistent effort on defense. UConn wins 73 – 62 . MOV 11
 
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Judging a good team by the lousy teams they have played is not wise. Just look at what we all thought about NC State. That said, if UConn plays the kind of game they played against NC, they can win this one, despite the height deficit.
UConn 75
Louisville 70
 
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I think UConn is starting to figure out what’s working and what their roles will have to be in order to be successful so I say…
UConn 68
L’Ville 52
MOV 16
 
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UConn needs to be aggressive on defense the whole game. On offense, stop the silly mistakes. Get some rebounds and limit second chance points for Louisville.

They do that, then:

UConn 76 - Louisville 68
 
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