It's amazing how precarious everything is and what has to happen to win a NC!
It really is just case by case/season by season:
2015-losing Harrison was the difference maker, as Tennessee only had Graves in the post and this crushed any title hopes (although I don't think anyone realistically thought UT had a shot at a title even with Harrison..)
2014-Losing starting point guard Massengale midseason was brutal. She was having a great year prior to injury, and this aided Tennessee's early exit.
2013-they had a great year considering expectations. No one thought they'd take the SEC crown and come close to making the Final Four
2012-this was a rough year with Pat's dementia. That said, injuries weren't the difference maker
2011-injuries to their posts had a big impact. Cain and Brewer were studs in 2010 and were shells of themselves in 2011. Their lack of health could have made a difference to get to the final four.
2010-great season for Tennessee. Lost to Griner and Co after having a lead relatively deep into the 2nd half, but they finished a stellar 34-3 after a dismal 2009 season.
2009-no upperclassmen or sophomores who saw minutes outside of Bjorklund and Fuller. Injuries to Baugh and McMahon retiring really hurt, I think they at least make the Sweet 16 with a point guard and Vicki Baugh.
2008-Injury to Parker could have derailed UT but Bobbitt, Auguste, Anosike and Baugh stepped up huge.
2007-Healthy, great year for UT
2006-I think this could have been Tennessee's best team ever...SWG quitting was a major blow, Hornbuckle'a broken wrist crushed the season's dreams. Fuller was also unhealthy much of the year, and they received a rough draw for the regionals.
2005-injuries were the only thing preventing Tennessee from a title this year. Add in Parker and they win a title.
2004-Losing Moore midseason was tough to recover from. Butts was great and stepped up, but Moore would have helped immensely against Connecticut.
When Tennessee has had point guards or star players injured, it has derailed their seasons lead into disappointing finishes, relative to expectations. When Tennessee has been healthy, they have been very good and have put together successful seasons.
Their recruiting efforts haven't been up to par compared to Connecticut. Connecticut hasn't faced as many derailing injuries as Tennessee, but when they have lost key players, it hasn't affected them that much because they have stockpiled talent waiting on the bench or other stud players to take over. 2014, even with an injured Tuck and KML, Connecticut had 4 other All Americans on the floor and another future WNBA starter off the bench. 2009 they lose a role player in Doty and EDD leaves before the season starts, but they have 3 All Americans in the lineup still.