Preseason Ratings (Computers Love Us Again)

[ToolzieFan]

We’re #2 in Erik Haslam’s preseason ratings. This is purely an analytical rating, and not a personal ranking.

 

[ToolzieFan]

And we’re #3 in Bart Torvik’s projections.

T-Rank - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank

T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.

barttorvik.com

 

[auror]

We are #4 in my consensus model:

There's a pretty clear top tier with Duke, Kansas, Purdue and we're tops of tier 2 since the computers like us more than Mich St.

Sources:
Humans (all polls post-July) - The Athletic, ESPN. CBS (Parrish), CBS Candid Coaches Poll, Three Man Weave, and The Almanac. I know this partially double counts the Weave guys, but I think they're very good so I'm okay with it.

Computers - BartTorvik, Hoop-Explorer, and Haslametrics.

Vegas - I got consensus odds from Covers. Sportsbooks include FanDuel, DraftKings, PointsBet, BetMGM, BetRivers, and Caesars.

 

[XLCenterFan]

FAU will finish the season unranked and might barely make the round of 32. Seeing them ranked so high by everyone is why preseason rankings should not exist.

 

[Viet Vet]

Call me in March.

 

[huskiesNhoos]

FAU will finish the season unranked and might barely make the round of 32. Seeing them ranked so high by everyone is why preseason rankings should not exist.

30+ win team that was just in the FF, that returns all 5 starters and 8 of their top 9 players and you think they don't deserve those rankings? Am I missing something? Sure they'll probably lose a few more games in a (slightly) tougher AAC, but this is a weird take

 

[huskyfan224]

I like being under the radar more and being disrespected. Oh well, not mad about this

 

[willie99]

Houston? and Purdue? C'mon man

 

[gtcam]

FAU will finish the season unranked and might barely make the round of 32. Seeing them ranked so high by everyone is why preseason rankings should not exist.

This is comical at best and if serious - ridiculous

 

[gtcam]

Houston? and Purdue? C'mon man

What Sampson continues to do at Houston is mind blowing. The gut gets so much out of little.

 

[Hoophound]

What Sampson continues to do at Houston is mind blowing. The gut gets so much out of little.

An incredible coach. Probably the best actual coach in the business when it comes to team building and X's and O's.

 

[August_West]

An incredible coach. Probably the best actual coach in the business when it comes to team building and X's and O's.

Fully agree.

 

[Inyatkin]

The computers had us pegged last year. We like the computers.

 

[alexd]

Anybody willing to put some $$ on Purdue in March?? Anybody??

 

[Samoo]

What Sampson continues to do at Houston is mind blowing. The gut gets so much out of little.

It's the particular makeup of gastric acids...

 

[Waquoit]

I like being under the radar more and being disrespected. Oh well, not mad about this

I get it but once you win I feel you need to embrace it. I'm a Sox fan and it always killed me how a couple of fellow die-hards would whine like an underdog in 2005. Giants fans too, calling themselves "long-suffering" shortly after the Tuna won his couple.

 

[Tenspro2002]

I like being under the radar more and being disrespected. Oh well, not mad about this

I like being highly ranked, relevant, on the tip of the tongue of every talking head, and crammed down the throat of TV and social media viewers.

 

[bmayuc]

long live the spreadsheets!

 

[HuskyFich]

Anybody willing to put some $$ on Purdue in March?? Anybody??

A sweet 16 exit? Yeah, I'd make that bet.

 

[willie99]

An incredible coach. Probably the best actual coach in the business when it comes to team building and X's and O's.

I like the man, great coach

Are you forgetting about Dan Hurley

 

[willie99]

A sweet 16 exit? Yeah, I'd make that bet.

Second weekend? Furgetaboutit

 

[BLUEDOGHOUSE]

FAU will finish the season unranked and might barely make the round of 32. Seeing them ranked so high by everyone is why preseason rankings should not exist.

I had them winning the title @400/1 (I think first week in January the bet was placed) on DK. Put down $100. So the SDSU buzzer beater cost me since by default the pick would have won with a UConn vs FAU title matchup.

I wouldn't make that play now @ 50/1 or 60/1.

 

[XLCenterFan]

I had them winning the title @400/1 (I think first week in January the bet was placed) on DK. Put down $100. So the SDSU buzzer beater cost me since by default the pick would have won with a UConn vs FAU title matchup.

I wouldn't make that play now @ 50/1 or 60/1.

Their odds to win it all right now are more indicative of what they will do when compared to their ranking. They are around 50-1. This has them next to Miami, Auburn and Memphis. Their ranking has them next to teams like Marquette, Creighton, and Arizona. Way off. I would argue that their odds should be closer to 100-1
this year. Squares would bite at that and have a 1% chance to cash that ticket.

 

[BLUEDOGHOUSE]

Their odds to win it all right now are more indicative of what they will do when compared to their ranking. They are around 50-1. This has them next to Miami, Auburn and Memphis. Their ranking has them next to teams like Marquette, Creighton, and Arizona. Way off. I would argue that their odds should be closer to 100-1
this year. Squares would bite at that and have a 1% chance to cash that ticket.

Interesting point is that they are still fairly young. They may not have any senior starters this year. It is easy to be bearish as it relates to title aspirations for any mid major without a core of solid seniors. The bracket did open up for them and Memphis arguably got screwed.

Hard to root against a team though (other than me!) that keeps its core together including the coach after that Final 4 run. Especially when Martin and Davi$ could have landed anywhere.

 

[Scrutiner]

When I see Purdue annually at the top of these lists I have to wonder if the prognosticators just "copied and pasted" last year's prediction.
Here's mine. Copied and pasted. Purdue is not that good.