Predict the Nova line

[XLCenterFan]

I've got us getting points. I'll guess the opening line will be 3.5

 

[Brochacho]

Villanova +1

 

[Hey Adrien!]

UConn +2

 

[navery12]

UConn +1 to open

 

[Leebo]

UConn +1.5

 

[UconnU]

+3.5

 

[Dream Jobbed 2.0]

E

 

[borninansonia]

UConn +2.5

 

[Matt1010]

PK/+1, I'd be very very surprised if it's +3 or more

 

[UconnU]

PK/+1, I'd be very very surprised if it's +3 or more

Moore is back, Gillespie is healthy, they’re a nightmare matchup for us and it’s at the XL center I would be surprised if it’s not 3 or 4.

 

[Palatine]

Nova -1.

 

[CTBasketball]

Villanova -1000000 we’re doomed.

Gillespie offensive fouls called O/U 0.5

 

[HeGotGame]

Pick to -1 UConn

 

[awfuldan]

I believe KenPom has us slightly favored to win. Vegas is usually not so far off that. That said, I'll go Nova -1.

 

[GHSWolverines]

Uconn ÷2

 

[BGesus4]

I believe KenPom has us slightly favored to win. Vegas is usually not so far off that. That said, I'll go Nova -1.

Interesting. This is a change from the beginning of the day yesterday when kenpom had us losing by 1. I guess it’s cuz we covered and nova didn’t.

 

[Fatroony5]

Nova might be a slight favorite but no way UConn is getting 4 points at home.

 

[wheelerdog]

Open UConn -1, Villanova -1 at tip

 

[CL82]

Uconn ÷2

Avatar/post. Haha

 

[Calhoun's Court]

Uconn +2 1/2

 

[auror]

It seems like they don't do pick'ems very often in college basketball, but this line is begging for a pick'em.

As mentioned, KenPom went from Nova -1 after our win against Xavier to UConn -1 when Nova only won by 8 at home over GTown (KenPom had them as 21 point favorites, so they were 13 points under the expected margin).

Nova might get the name recognition and prior recent matchups bump, we'll get the hungry team playing ranked team at home adjustment. So thus: pick'em.

 

[Tenspro2002]

I think it should be UConn +2 or so.

On the road, I believe we were +5 or so, but we lost by 10 and were never really that close. Line should have been more like +8. Switching from road to home is about a 6 point swing.

If they give us credit for playing well lately and not the fact that this is a bad matchup that we've never really been close to contesting, it might be a PK.

I'll be hammering Nova moneyline regardless. Wish I felt otherwise.

 

[methodology]

Numbers should have it a pick or UConn -1 but have a feeling books will open it at Nova -1 or -2

 

[UConnSwag11]

 

[XLCenterFan]

IMO we have to prove we can beat Nova. Until then, we should be getting more then a basket. That’s why I said 3.5.

 

[HeGotGame]

Pick to -1 UConn

Opened UConn -1

 

[XLCenterFan]

I just saw a pick 'em. Wow, we are getting respect there. Total 136.5

 

[methodology]

I just saw a pick 'em. Wow, we are getting respect there. Total 136.5

It’s not so much respect but what all the numbers and metrics say

 

[HeGotGame]

Most books now posted, consensus -1.5, and -2 at DraftKings

 

[auror]

Most books now posted, consensus -1.5, and -2 at DraftKings

DK opened at UConn -1 in my market and is now at -2.5.