Predict the AAC/ESPN Deal

[whaler11]

Assuming the AAC/ESPN deal is for a similar quantity of content (CBS gets their handful of MBB games)

Your predictions:

1. What is the per team rake for the 11 FB/BB members for just the ESPN contract

2. Is there a major ESPN+ component


I’ll go first:

1. 4.25 million
2. Yes

 

[CL82]

There's a poll on the men's basketball board.

New AAC ESPN Deal Prediction Poll

 

[whaler11]

There's a poll on the men's basketball board.

New AAC ESPN Deal Prediction Poll

oh. where they lumped 4-10 million together in a bucket. and somehow someone voted for something outside of that

 

[TRest]

4 million per year;
AAC gets one football game on ESPN cable network on Saturdays, 2 on weeknight evenings (this includes ESPNU, etc.)
AAC gets 6 hoops games on ESPN cable network each week.
All other content is now ESPN+, "it's the future!!!!"

 

[CL82]

oh. where they lumped 4-10 million together in a bucket. and somehow someone voted for something outside of that

Lol, there are limited slots for alternatives so going up in $1 (or even million dollar) increments isn't possible.

 

[pepband99]

We will take a premium number in return for the scarlet letter +. Both sides will call it "innovative," even though it ends up worse than the FSx purgatory that that NBE is in.

I'll say 8M with too many + games.

 

[TRest]

So why waste slots for impossible outcomes, like SEC $? If it really is going to fall between 4-10, that's the broadest category you chose.

 

[CL82]

So why waste slots for impossible outcomes, like SEC $? If it really is going to fall between 4-10, that's the broadest category you chose.

It fills a niche. I think it had 7 or so votes as of this morning. These polls are a better tool for for determining mindset of the fanbase rather than a gauge of the actual contract.

But since you asked, the '>than $4M but < than $10' category is saying that the conference will more than double it's existing deal but not quite get to eight figures. That's a statement on conference value that, in my opinion, stays roughly the same whether it's $5M or $9M per year per school. We're the best of G5. At $10M or more we are more P6, a little brother to the rest of P5. Again the poll is more a gauge of fan self-perception of the school and the conference.

 

[TRest]

Anybody know what UConn was getting with the additional BE money factored in? I think that’s over now.

 

[billybud]

Some weird nattering in the Memphis Business Journal...

Uneven revenue distribution...focus on UCF

"Memphis, Cincinnati, Houston, and South Florida are the other candidates most likely to be targeted by the power five, according to several well-placed sources.

If conference brass is able to lock up those top schools, they would create a level of stability the five-year-old AAC has not had before. Conference backers believe this move could be pivotal in Commissioner Mike Aresco’s quest to make the AAC part of the autonomy conferences, or the "power six," as he calls it.

Part of the negotiations have explored the possibility of top AAC schools making more revenue than others, which is drastically different than the conference’s current deal in terms of revenue distribution. Currently, the conference splits revenue evenly among its members. It’s unclear how a new distribution system that pays more to certain schools would be received by the rest of the conference, but the presence of UCF is expected to lead to a bigger media rights deal for the conference.

For a media company like ESPN, getting higher-profile schools to commit long term takes a lot of the uncertainty out of its rights negotiations. ESPN does not want to commit to a media rights deal only to see other conferences pick off the best teams. UCF’s Florida location, thriving Orlando market, and on-field success would make it a prime target if the Big 12, the smallest of the power five leagues with 10 schools, revisited expansion. The Big 12 looked into expansion two years ago before deciding to stand pat."

"The American Athletic Conference’s (AAC) current, seven-year, $126 million package with ESPN expires in 2020. A new deal could be three to four times higher, but only if the top AAC schools commit to stay in the conference, sources said.

By committing to stay in the AAC, those schools sacrifice the opportunity to jump to a more lucrative arrangement if a power five league like the Big 12 decides to expand. In return, those schools will get a bigger share of the conference’s revenue from its next media deal. The schools also get the stability that comes with a long-term commitment. "

 

[bobbyinaz]

As I said in the other thread I think the per team number is around $6MM which lets Aresco & the AD's taut the fact that they got a 300% increase.

I also think that a good chunk of AAC games will wind up on "The Plus"

 

[huskymedic]

Some weird nattering in the Memphis Business Journal...

Uneven revenue distribution...focus on UCF

"Memphis, Cincinnati, Houston, and South Florida are the other candidates most likely to be targeted by the power five, according to several well-placed sources.

If conference brass is able to lock up those top schools, they would create a level of stability the five-year-old AAC has not had before. Conference backers believe this move could be pivotal in Commissioner Mike Aresco’s quest to make the AAC part of the autonomy conferences, or the "power six," as he calls it.

Part of the negotiations have explored the possibility of top AAC schools making more revenue than others, which is drastically different than the conference’s current deal in terms of revenue distribution. Currently, the conference splits revenue evenly among its members. It’s unclear how a new distribution system that pays more to certain schools would be received by the rest of the conference, but the presence of UCF is expected to lead to a bigger media rights deal for the conference.

For a media company like ESPN, getting higher-profile schools to commit long term takes a lot of the uncertainty out of its rights negotiations. ESPN does not want to commit to a media rights deal only to see other conferences pick off the best teams. UCF’s Florida location, thriving Orlando market, and on-field success would make it a prime target if the Big 12, the smallest of the power five leagues with 10 schools, revisited expansion. The Big 12 looked into expansion two years ago before deciding to stand pat."

"The American Athletic Conference’s (AAC) current, seven-year, $126 million package with ESPN expires in 2020. A new deal could be three to four times higher, but only if the top AAC schools commit to stay in the conference, sources said.

By committing to stay in the AAC, those schools sacrifice the opportunity to jump to a more lucrative arrangement if a power five league like the Big 12 decides to expand. In return, those schools will get a bigger share of the conference’s revenue from its next media deal. The schools also get the stability that comes with a long-term commitment. "

Date of article/link you are referring to?

 

[billybud]

December 10

You may have to register to see article

https://www.bizjournals.com/memphis...-of-m-offered-bigger-piece-of-tv-deal-to.html

 

[huskymedic]

Some weird nattering in the Memphis Business Journal...

Uneven revenue distribution...focus on UCF

"Memphis, Cincinnati, Houston, and South Florida are the other candidates most likely to be targeted by the power five, according to several well-placed sources.

If conference brass is able to lock up those top schools, they would create a level of stability the five-year-old AAC has not had before. Conference backers believe this move could be pivotal in Commissioner Mike Aresco’s quest to make the AAC part of the autonomy conferences, or the "power six," as he calls it.

Part of the negotiations have explored the possibility of top AAC schools making more revenue than others, which is drastically different than the conference’s current deal in terms of revenue distribution. Currently, the conference splits revenue evenly among its members. It’s unclear how a new distribution system that pays more to certain schools would be received by the rest of the conference, but the presence of UCF is expected to lead to a bigger media rights deal for the conference.

For a media company like ESPN, getting higher-profile schools to commit long term takes a lot of the uncertainty out of its rights negotiations. ESPN does not want to commit to a media rights deal only to see other conferences pick off the best teams. UCF’s Florida location, thriving Orlando market, and on-field success would make it a prime target if the Big 12, the smallest of the power five leagues with 10 schools, revisited expansion. The Big 12 looked into expansion two years ago before deciding to stand pat."

"The American Athletic Conference’s (AAC) current, seven-year, $126 million package with ESPN expires in 2020. A new deal could be three to four times higher, but only if the top AAC schools commit to stay in the conference, sources said.

By committing to stay in the AAC, those schools sacrifice the opportunity to jump to a more lucrative arrangement if a power five league like the Big 12 decides to expand. In return, those schools will get a bigger share of the conference’s revenue from its next media deal. The schools also get the stability that comes with a long-term commitment. "

December 10

You may have to register to see article

https://www.bizjournals.com/memphis...-of-m-offered-bigger-piece-of-tv-deal-to.html

That was before Aresco shot that rumor of unequal revenue distribution down:

 

[whaler11]

That was before Aresco shot that rumor of unequal revenue distribution down:

wait can we not trust memphis sources on aac media deals?

 

[nelsonmuntz]

My prediction: After next round of TV contracts, NBE will still be ahead of AAC.

 

[don356]

My prediction: After next round of TV contracts, NBE will still be ahead of AAC.

I wouldn't bet the ranch on this. No football, no $'s. Fox isn't a startup anymore.

 

[ClifSpliffy]

My prediction: After next round of TV contracts, NBE will still be ahead of AAC.

gonna be big fun when that day comes, mebbe manana, mebbe inna year or so, but coming nonetheless, where AAC east carolina receives multiples of what BE villanova gets for its media deal. thankfully, that truth will end the topic here of UConn moving to the big least. big fun. AAC!

 

[Stinger92860]

Less than 4m because we are cursed

 

[GarlicParm]

Got to imagine it will be about what UConn Cincy and USF we’re making with the old big east payouts

$8.3 mil per school; $100 mil a year for the conference. Navy and Wichita can split the 12th share

 

[GridironGR8]

All indications I have seen in public comments from people such as Memphis' president (i.e. the actual decision makers, not realignment rumor-mongers) leads me to expect between $6m and $8m per full member. Buzz about tiered compensation is pure jibberish. FULL members will be compensated equally, whether it is UCONN or Tulsa or UCF.

 

[Rufus]

I predict that Rutgers will be making ten times the revenue UConn will be making in a few short years.

 

[SubInATub]

I predict that Rutgers will be making ten times the revenue UConn will be making in a few short years.

Probably sooner than that

 

[HawkHusky]

Memphis AD just did an interview saying it will be announced in 7 to 10 days, it’s a nice bump, and a great deal with our current TV partner.

 

[huskymedic]