Who cares about a statistical rating before the season starts where the dude who makes it just takes stuff from last year, regardless of departures, coaching changes, player improvement
Why is Memphis projected to go 8-9 in conference?
Because Houston is obviously playing one of their games....Why is Memphis projected to go 8-9 in conference?
Ya, I didn't understand that.That stuff is all factored in.
Coaching changes just make things more volatile so it's less likely to be accurate. But the ranking IS adjusted for it.
Returning player production adjusted by age growth and recruiting pedigree is factored in. Minutes consistency and departing production is factored in. Coach pedigree and experience is factored in. Highly ranked recruits are factored in.
I will be honest I'm not sure how Gilbert is handled, though. A bit of a special case. We're probably underrated if he's back to true form.
"Projected record is based on cumulative probabilities of winning each game and may not equal the sum of individual game predictions. "
Aside from the fact that Pomeroy does factor in most of those things, I presume the people posting in the thread?Who cares about a statistical rating before the season starts where the dude who makes it just takes stuff from last year, regardless of departures, coaching changes, player improvement
Good catch! Thought he meant why does it show 8-9 when if you look at the individual games it would be 9-8.Because Houston is obviously playing one of their games....
If you add up all the win probabilities, it adds up to 8.44 wins, but the site shows 9 wins for the individual games. So the expected value is 8.44 wins, but they're favored in 9 games. Means they likely won't win all the games they're favored in because you're just favored in a few. The odds are that they'd win 8 more often than 9 if they played the schedule multiple times, so the site shows 8-9 instead of 9-8.Ya, I didn't understand that.
That stuff is all factored in.
Coaching changes just make things more volatile so it's less likely to be accurate. But the ranking IS adjusted for it.
I will be honest I'm not sure how Gilbert is handled, though. A bit of a special case. We're probably underrated if he's back to true form.
If WSU finishes that high it says a lot about Marshall. They lost a lot of players.
#8. Seems high to me, but we have everyone back from a Sweet 16 appearance.Wheres cuse?
He asked a question, I gave an answer. No big deal, or trolling. Just checking out the board's thoughts on AA.Oh great, there's an infestation now.
I like this.#8. Seems high to me, but we have everyone back from a Sweet 16 appearance. View attachment 35487