Here is my theory. The best team usually wins. Texas was better than Baylor in Waco, so they won. Baylor was better than Texas in Austin, so they won. If Jones is not back until the NCAA tourney, as is the indication at this point, I think Texas will beat Baylor in the Big 12 tourney if they meet, which would probably mean that Baylor will be a 2 seed. That just means that they will have to beat someone in the regional final that they would have to beat in the Final Four.
I have great respect for UT. Aston is doing a wonderful job with that program and it will only get better next season.