He's rating 125 teams and writes up the positions in 4 hours a team.
He rates the players low because they have had low recruiting rankings and they lost a ton of production from a bad team.
Because the players are low, the positions are low and that is where he builds the team levels from.
His system doesn't like the team. It's a good system but far from perfect. It's not like he's sitting around contemplating every small factor that a fan would know.
It may be accurate about this team and it may not. It's not personal it's just how he operates. What he thinks doesn't actually matter BTW.
Almost nobody is going to like this team going into the year. Someone took the time to reverse engineer the Golden Nugget lines that have been released. Whoever set those lines has UConn as one of the absolute worst teams in the country. Like 75th out of 78 that could be reverse engineered.
Phil Steele is pretty good. Just listen to him, he will tell you.
Kidding aside, he is probably the most accurate of any major preseason prognosticator. He picks the right stats, and he doesn't lean nearly as heavily on 4 year old recruiting rankings as the other publications. He still uses them, but more as a last resort that a driving factor in his predictions. He does have a history of underrating UConn too.
That said, we should not get angry with Phil Steele over this prediction. I think it is wrong, but not by a lot. I think UConn is better than Tulane, Memphis and Temple, and roughly equal with USF, SMU and Tulsa. I think the AAC football will be a lot like basketball, where there will be a group at the top, UCF, Cincinnati, Houston and ECU, that lose a handful of games combined to the teams at the bottom.
It is amazing that we got to this point. 2012 was really a lost year for UConn. The defense was incredible that year, allowing 310 ypg, only 2.7 ypc and sacking opponents 33 times. A defense like that should win 10 games. Unfortunately, Deleone was killing us on the other side of the ball, with a terrible running game (we can't run a 160 pound back between the tackles 15 times a game?) and an avalanche of TO's (-14). That team should have been so much better, and could have changed the trajectory of the entire program.
Now we are starting over. Every prior year there were a few players on each side that we can latch onto and say that we are solid at these 10 or 12 positions before even accounting for new starters or guys that needed to improve. Who are those guys this year? Jones, Adams and Melifonwu are good, but they better be prepared to make a lot of tackles and hold coverage for 10 seconds plus, because there is nothing of note up front. I like Davis, Mateas, Foxx, DeLorenzo and Cochran, but Cochran doesn't even have the job yet and DeLorenzo is a change of pace back. By my count, we have 5 sacks returning off a defense that wasn't that good last year. This could be the worst UConn team since 2001.
The best thing going for us is that much of the AAC sucks too. As bad as UConn looks on paper, Stony Brook, Temple, @Tulane and Army should be victories. @USF, @ Memphis, and SMU at home in December are all winnable. UConn will be 2 TD or worse underdogs in the other 5 games.