eh.
that suspicion assumes the 2 sides were on equal footing during the talks. I find it hardddd to imagine that a zombie conference of 2 teams with a ticking NCAA-compliance-time-bomb, had any leverage or higher-ground against a complete and satisfied, quality G5 conference commish & staff.
I've said it before, MW is the best G5 conference - quality teams/brands, sensible geography, mostly competitive games top-to-bottom. Any one of those teams is IMO within striking distance of a Big 12 invite, and some are there already (Boise St, SDSU). They know this about themselves and are being careful about keeping that fraternity together and surviving realignment as a unit. wherever one goes, they all go.
ORST / WAST 's star is fading fast, and will accelerate the longer they are not in one of the remaining P4 conferences (pac12 2.0 doesn't count, it would be a glorified G5).
IMO Mountain West has the power and decided the value wasn't there.