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Alex is one of those guys who could have been a very dominant college player whose strengths did not translate well to the NBA. Having an off year last year and an unknown this year may just result in him being an off and on dominant college player.
He's often said to have an "NBA ready" body. Translate that as "big and burly enough" to fight in the trenches in the NBA. No doubt about that.
But he doesn't have an NBA ready skill set or, I believe, NBA ready athleticism.
His skill set and athleticism work well at the college level because most of the guys he is playing against can't out muscle him and can't significantly out jump him, notwithstanding that he is not a big leaper.
In the NBA, that changes, and while he will be able to bang with anybody, his half hook, falling through the lane patented shot is going to get blasted out of the air.
Given that he did not add substantially to his offensive arsenal or otherwise improve his low block moves and back to the basket game in the 3 years we had him, I conclude that his development is, for the most part, maxed out or not ramping up quickly.
Conclusion - may get drafted based on size and strength alone, will be unlikely to see more than scrub minutes, likely not in the NBA in 5 years.
But I wish him luck, I like him, I think he got a bad deal last year, I think JC mishandled it, and if he ends up in the NBA, I count that in the Huskies in the NBA list.
I agree with a lot of your post but to think he will translate his big and burly self in to "fighting in the trenches" when he never did in college is way off. The big burly guy averaged about 6 boards a game despite the fact he was the biggest and strongest guy on the court.
NBA chances - I'm with super john (I know you can't imagine that!! lol) 0%.......no offensive skills, no footwork and doesnt have the Rodman attitude required to go with his skill set. Won't play an NBA game ever!