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[QUOTE="auror, post: 2703488, member: 1329"]
He will have to be. If he's literally anything less than All Pro in his rookie season, you've lost value.

Because RBs can have relative quick impact on the league (productive as a rookie, etc.) and are more interchangeable than most positions, you can really take advantage of cheap late round rookie deals and cut them loose after. But because the contract market for RBs has been depressed by this fact, a top draft pick just costs too much compared to what is available on the open market.

Barkley will have the most guaranteed money for a RB in the entire league and a top 4 cap hit per year. Think about that. Even if he plays like even an above average or good NFL starter as a rookie, you're out substantial value. Potential Hall of Famers like LeSean McCoy got 18 million guaranteed and you're going to give Barkley 30 million. Carlos Hyde, a good NFL starter, got a 3 year deal with 8 million in total guarantees and a 5 mil cap hit per year.

Why not just sign proven contributors Telvin Coleman or Jay Ajayi next offseason for literally half what you signed Barkley to?
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