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OT Losses. Why?
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[QUOTE="UcMiami, post: 2135767, member: 199"] Just thought I would add some more specific context to my above post - Uconn/ND has happened 22 times in the last decade by far the most of any opponent and during that time and they account for half of the string of six OT loses Uconn/ND: Uconn MOV in regulation wins: 14.9 (15 wins) ND MOV in regulation wins 6.5 (4) with 3 OT/DOT wins. More instructive of those 15 Uconn wins only two were less than double digit, a 3 and a 9 point win. Of the ND regulation wins only one was double digit - 13, the rest were 1, 2, and 9. Even if you drop out the first three years (5 Uconn wins) the average MOV in Uconn wins was 13.3 with again only the 2 single digit wins. If you go one step further and drop out the 2011 season when ND finally broke through and won the last of 4 contest, Uconn's MOV in wins actually goes up to 14 with the closest win being 9 points and ND's actually goes down in regulation wins to 5.3. The record in that seven year period when Uconn and ND basically were never out of the top 3 in rankings 7 to 3 with 3 OT wins by ND, and if you ran a Massey's series during those seven years it would probably have been about 7-3 as Uconn was much more consistently #1 in the rankings. And the overall MOV counting OT games as '0' for that seven year period 6.3 which is about the point spread for Massey of a 70% win probability. That ND actually went 7-6 during that time suggests they had 'Uconn's number' or Uconn consistently played below their standard. The interesting thing is that in that 7 year period all of the OT wins and all 6 of ND's wins came in the two year stretch at the beginning when ND went 6-2 (the 7 of 8 that kept being quoted included the last game from the previous season and was created before the last game of the second year.) So three of the sequence of 6 OT losses are part of a string of 7 losses in 8 games to the same team - a team that knew how to beat those particular Uconn teams consistently over a two year period. Interesting also to note that the starting PG and Center on the first of those two years were sophomores Hartley and Dolson after the team leader Moore had graduated. And they had a undersized 'power forward' starter in 5'11" junior Kelly Faris. They went 33-5 losing in the semi-final. (They went on to win the next two NCs with the help of a stellar recruiting class! :)) [/QUOTE]
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OT Losses. Why?
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