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Message: [QUOTE="auror, post: 2184772, member: 1329"] This is incredibly easy to second guess, but very lazy to do so without laying out the options they had at the time and their likelihoods. I think it's safe to say we were 40-60% likely to land Diallo at the time a decision had to be made on continuing perusing or choosing to pursue other options. The fact that he didn't choose us doesn't change those odds at the time. Certainly Miller thought it was that or higher, which is probably one reason he lost his job (unfairly, perhaps). Chaundee Brown cut us from his top 4 in August '16. So sometime inbetween March (when he reported we were one of the two recruiting him the hardest) and August you think we failed to recruit him, maybe by backing off intensity or prioritizing Hamidou. Considering Kansas was heavily involved and obviously he liked Wake since he went there (and they were the other of the hardest 2), I'd say we were no better than 33% chance to land Brown at the time. I'll take prioritizing the 50% top 10 guy in our backyard over the 33% top 50 guy from FL everytime. [/QUOTE]