Why they could finish here: Florida State found a way to win again, this time with its third-string quarterback and an elite defense. The Seminoles have three wins against CFP top-25 teams, including Clemson, LSU and now Louisville, but they simply didn't look like a team capable of winning a national title. In 2014, when Ohio State was down to its third-string quarterback, the Buckeyes cracked the top four for the first time all season in large part because they embarrassed Wisconsin with a 59-0 drubbing in the Big Ten championship game. Against Louisville on Saturday, Florida State couldn't get a first down until late in the first half. The defense played at a championship-caliber level, but there were mistakes on offense that extended beyond the play of first-time starting quarterback Brock Glenn, who was replacing Tate Rodemaker, who was replacing Jordan Travis. If FSU is snubbed, it would be the first time an undefeated Power 5 team has missed the playoff. The Noles should still finish ahead of No. 7 Ohio State, No. 8 Oregon, No. 9 Missouri and No. 10 Penn State.